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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Raufoss v Moss: numbers & prediction

1. Division · Norway · NAMMO Stadion

Raufoss

LLWWL
1–2
FT

Moss

LDWLW
Raufoss 14%Draw 23%Moss 63% Expected goals 1.26 – 2.55
86%
Betarazi pick

Moss or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Moss to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultMoss to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceMoss or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.02

Raufoss vs Moss: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Moss travel to face Raufoss on Sunday 11 October in the 1. Division, with NAMMO Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Raufoss are 16th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 30 matches; Moss are 13th (lower half) with 32. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Raufoss, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Start, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.

Moss, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kongsvinger, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Jul 2026) it ended Moss 1–2 Raufoss.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Raufoss 1.3 xG, Moss 2.6 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Raufoss 14%, draw 23%, Moss 63%.
  • Lower-risk option: Moss or draw (86%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: Moss to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Moss or draw (86%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Raufoss 1–2 Moss. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Raufoss14%fair 7.06 · @3.70
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.60
Moss63%fair 1.60 · @1.75
3.81Expected goals
1.26Raufoss xG
2.55Moss xG
65%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
1–17%
0–36%
2–26%

From our goals model: Raufoss 1.3 – 2.6 Moss expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMoss to win ✓63%1.601.75 ▲
Double chanceMoss or draw ✓86%1.171.25 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.531.44
Draw no betMoss (draw no bet) ✓82%1.23–
Asian handicapMoss -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗53%1.89–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
First team to scoreMoss to score first ✓66%1.53–
Half-time resultMoss ahead at half-time ✓50%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Moss / FT Moss ✓44%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%11.02–

Recent results

Raufoss – last 6

LLWWLL
6 Octvs Start1–5L
20 Sepvs Stromsgodset0–2L
16 Sep@ Elverum3–0W
13 Sepvs ODD Ballklubb2–1W
5 Sep@ Kongsvinger1–9L
30 Augvs Sandnes ULF0–3L
1.2Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Moss – last 6

LDWLWL
5 Octvs Kongsvinger0–2L
23 Sep@ Grorud1–1D
20 Sep@ Sandnes ULF2–1W
13 Sepvs Haugesund1–4L
5 Sep@ Stabaek3–2W
30 Augvs Strommen1–2L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Jul 2026Moss v Raufoss1–2
Raufoss vs Moss head-to-head page →

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stromsgodset302064+4666
2Haugesund302127+3565
3Kongsvinger301857+3459
4Stabaek301848+3258
5ODD Ballklubb301479+1249
6Bryne3014412+446
7Ranheim3012513+241
8Egersund3011811-741
9Strommen3011613-1039
10hodd3011613-1039
11Lyn3010416-1534
12Sandnes ULF309615-1433
13Moss309516-1932
14Sogndal308715-1531
15Asane307518-2626
16Raufoss306222-4920

More 1. Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Raufoss vs Moss?

Our pick is Moss or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Raufoss vs Moss?

On our numbers Raufoss have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Moss 63%.

How many goals will there be in Raufoss vs Moss?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Raufoss vs Moss?

Our predicted score is Raufoss 1–2 Moss, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Raufoss vs Moss?

Raufoss vs Moss (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at NAMMO Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.