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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Stromsgodset v Kongsvinger: numbers & prediction

1. Division · Norway · Marienlyst Stadion
5–1
FT
Stromsgodset 61%Draw 17%Kongsvinger 22% Expected goals 2.66 – 1.56
69%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Stromsgodset to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultStromsgodset to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.33

Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Wednesday 14 October: Stromsgodset v Kongsvinger in the 1. Division, played at Marienlyst Stadion. In the table, Stromsgodset are 1st, leading the league, on 66 points after 30 matches; Kongsvinger are 3rd (among the top four) with 59.

Current form

Stromsgodset, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Lyn, away. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Kongsvinger, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 6–2 win over Ranheim, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 4.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Kongsvinger 4–4 Stromsgodset.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stromsgodset 2.7 xG, Kongsvinger 1.6 xG – a total near 4.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 79% and GG at 69%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stromsgodset 61%, draw 17%, Kongsvinger 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.25.
  • Price worth noting: Stromsgodset to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stromsgodset 2–1 Kongsvinger. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stromsgodset61%fair 1.63 · @1.75
Draw17%fair 5.92 · @3.90
Kongsvinger22%fair 4.61 · @3.40
4.22Expected goals
2.66Stromsgodset xG
1.56Kongsvinger xG
69%Both score
79%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
3–17%
2–26%
1–16%
3–26%
2–05%

From our goals model: Stromsgodset 2.7 – 1.6 Kongsvinger expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStromsgodset to win ✓61%1.631.75 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.201.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓69%1.441.25
Draw no betStromsgodset (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapStromsgodset -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗59%1.71–
First team to scoreStromsgodset to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultStromsgodset ahead at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stromsgodset / FT Stromsgodset ✓40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.33–

Recent results

Stromsgodset – last 6

WWWWWD
11 Oct@ Lyn5–1W
3 Octvs Asane1–0W
20 Sep@ Raufoss2–0W
13 Sepvs Sandnes ULF4–1W
8 Sep@ Asker4–1W
5 Sep@ ODD Ballklubb1–1D
2.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kongsvinger – last 6

WWWWDW
11 Octvs Ranheim6–2W
5 Oct@ Moss2–0W
20 Sepvs hodd5–1W
16 Sep@ Eidsvold3–2W
13 Sep@ Egersund1–1D
5 Sepvs Raufoss9–1W
4.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jun 2026Kongsvinger v Stromsgodset4–4
Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger head-to-head page →

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stromsgodset302064+4666
2Haugesund302127+3565
3Kongsvinger301857+3459
4Stabaek301848+3258
5ODD Ballklubb301479+1249
6Bryne3014412+446
7Ranheim3012513+241
8Egersund3011811-741
9Strommen3011613-1039
10hodd3011613-1039
11Lyn3010416-1534
12Sandnes ULF309615-1433
13Moss309516-1932
14Sogndal308715-1531
15Asane307518-2626
16Raufoss306222-4920

More 1. Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger?

On our numbers Stromsgodset have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Kongsvinger 22%.

How many goals will there be in Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger?

We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger?

Our predicted score is Stromsgodset 2–1 Kongsvinger, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.

When is Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger?

Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger (1. Division) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Marienlyst Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.