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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sogndal v Kongsvinger: numbers & prediction

1. Division · Norway · Fosshaugane Campus

Sogndal

WDLLL
3–1
FT
Sogndal 17%Draw 18%Kongsvinger 64% Expected goals 1.44 – 2.76
83%
Betarazi pick

Kongsvinger or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultKongsvinger to win ✗64% · @1.53
Double chanceKongsvinger or draw ✗83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.16

Sogndal vs Kongsvinger: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Sogndal v Kongsvinger in the 1. Division, played at Fosshaugane Campus. In the table, Sogndal are 14th, in the drop zone, on 31 points after 30 matches; Kongsvinger are 3rd (among the top four) with 59. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Sogndal, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Raufoss, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Kongsvinger, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Sandnes ULF, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.5 goals per game.

Momentum favours Kongsvinger, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Sogndal.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Jul 2026) it ended Kongsvinger 5–1 Sogndal.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sogndal 1.4 xG, Kongsvinger 2.8 xG – a total near 4.2. That is an open game on paper: 79% for three or more goals, 71% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sogndal 17%, draw 18%, Kongsvinger 64%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kongsvinger or draw (83%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.30.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kongsvinger or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sogndal 1–2 Kongsvinger. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sogndal17%fair 5.73 · @4.40
Draw18%fair 5.51 · @4.33
Kongsvinger64%fair 1.55 · @1.53
4.20Expected goals
1.44Sogndal xG
2.76Kongsvinger xG
71%Both score
79%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%
1–38%
1–16%
2–26%
0–26%
2–35%

From our goals model: Sogndal 1.4 – 2.8 Kongsvinger expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKongsvinger to win ✗64%1.551.53
Double chanceKongsvinger or draw ✗83%1.211.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓71%1.421.30
Draw no betKongsvinger (draw no bet) ✗79%1.27–
Asian handicapKongsvinger -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓60%1.65–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓59%1.70–
First team to scoreKongsvinger to score first65%1.55–
Half-time resultKongsvinger ahead at half-time ✗50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kongsvinger / FT Kongsvinger ✗44%2.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.16–

Recent results

Sogndal – last 6

WDLLLD
21 Octvs Raufoss2–1W
18 Oct@ Egersund3–3D
14 Octvs ODD Ballklubb0–1L
11 Oct@ Asane1–2L
20 Sep@ Stabaek1–2L
16 Sep@ Sotra1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Kongsvinger – last 6

WLWWWW
18 Octvs Sandnes ULF4–0W
14 Oct@ Stromsgodset1–5L
11 Octvs Ranheim6–2W
5 Oct@ Moss2–0W
20 Sepvs hodd5–1W
16 Sep@ Eidsvold3–2W
3.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Jul 2026Kongsvinger v Sogndal5–1
Sogndal vs Kongsvinger head-to-head page →

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stromsgodset302064+4666
2Haugesund302127+3565
3Kongsvinger301857+3459
4Stabaek301848+3258
5ODD Ballklubb301479+1249
6Bryne3014412+446
7Ranheim3012513+241
8Egersund3011811-741
9Strommen3011613-1039
10hodd3011613-1039
11Lyn3010416-1534
12Sandnes ULF309615-1433
13Moss309516-1932
14Sogndal308715-1531
15Asane307518-2626
16Raufoss306222-4920

More 1. Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sogndal vs Kongsvinger?

Our pick is Kongsvinger or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Sogndal vs Kongsvinger?

On our numbers Sogndal have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Kongsvinger 64%.

How many goals will there be in Sogndal vs Kongsvinger?

We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sogndal vs Kongsvinger?

Our predicted score is Sogndal 1–2 Kongsvinger, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.

When is Sogndal vs Kongsvinger?

Sogndal vs Kongsvinger (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Fosshaugane Campus.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.