Value bet: Bjarg to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultArendal to win41% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score66% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–17% · fair 13.76
Arendal vs Bjarg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bjarg travel to face Arendal on Sunday 12 April in the 2. Division Group 1, with Norac stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Arendal are 9th, lower half, on 31 points after 26 matches; Bjarg are 2nd (among the top four) with 54. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arendal 1.7 xG, Bjarg 2.0 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arendal 41%, draw 23%, Bjarg 36%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.36.
Price worth noting: Bjarg to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arendal 1–1 Bjarg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arendal41%fair 2.42 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.60
Bjarg36%fair 2.81 · @3.10
3.66Expected goals
1.70Arendal xG
1.96Bjarg xG
66%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–36%
0–15%
From our goals model: Arendal 1.7 – 2.0 Bjarg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arendal to win
41%
2.42
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
66%
1.51
1.36
Draw no bet
Arendal (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Arendal +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
69%
1.44
–
First team to score
Bjarg to score first
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Bjarg ahead at half-time
36%
2.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bjarg / FT Bjarg
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
7%
13.76
–
Recent results
Arendal – last 2
LL
6 Apr
@ Mjondalen
1–4
L
17 Feb
@ Moss
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Bjarg – last 1
W
6 Apr
vs Sandviken
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arendal and Bjarg.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Arendal vs Bjarg?
On our numbers Arendal have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bjarg 36%.
How many goals will there be in Arendal vs Bjarg?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arendal vs Bjarg?
Our predicted score is Arendal 1–1 Bjarg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Arendal vs Bjarg?
Arendal vs Bjarg (2. Division Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Norac stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
