Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Arendal to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNotodden to win ✓42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.61
Notodden vs Arendal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arendal travel to face Notodden on Sunday 20 September in the 2. Division Group 1, with Idrettsparken Notodden the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Notodden are 6th, upper half, on 38 points after 26 matches; Arendal are 9th (lower half) with 31.
Current form
Notodden, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to ODD Ballklubb, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Arendal, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sandnes ULF, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Arendal, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Notodden.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Notodden 1.4 xG, Arendal 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Notodden 42%, draw 23%, Arendal 35%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Arendal to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Notodden 1–1 Arendal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Notodden42%fair 2.35 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
Arendal35%fair 2.87 · @3.10
2.58Expected goals
1.37Notodden xG
1.21Arendal xG
61%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Notodden 1.4 – 1.2 Arendal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Notodden to win✓
42%
2.35
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.57
Draw no bet
Notodden (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Arendal +1 (Asian handicap)✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Notodden to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Notodden / FT Notodden✓
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.61
–
Recent results
Notodden – last 6
LDWDWL
16 Sep
vs ODD Ballklubb
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ Træff
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Lysekloster
3–0
W
30 Aug
@ Kvik Halden
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Åssiden IF
4–0
W
15 Aug
vs Brattvåg
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arendal – last 6
LWLWWW
16 Sep
vs Sandnes ULF
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Kvik Halden
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Bjarg
0–4
L
30 Aug
vs Lysekloster
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Froland
5–1
W
15 Aug
@ Vidar
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Notodden and Arendal.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Notodden vs Arendal?
On our numbers Notodden have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arendal 35%.
How many goals will there be in Notodden vs Arendal?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Notodden vs Arendal?
Our predicted score is Notodden 1–1 Arendal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Notodden vs Arendal?
Notodden vs Arendal (2. Division Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Idrettsparken Notodden.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
