Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
Resultjerv to win ✓62% · @1.50
Double chancejerv or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
jerv vs Notodden: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: jerv v Notodden in the 2. Division Group 1. In the table, jerv are 1st, leading the league, on 59 points after 26 matches; Notodden are 6th (upper half) with 38. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
jerv, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Kvik Halden, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Notodden, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Arendal, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours jerv, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Notodden.
Head to head
When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Notodden 0–0 jerv.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give jerv 2.0 xG, Notodden 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – jerv 62%, draw 22%, Notodden 15%.
Lower-risk option: jerv or draw (85%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: jerv 2–0 Notodden. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
jerv62%fair 1.60 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.20
Notodden15%fair 6.46 · @4.50
2.95Expected goals
2.03jerv xG
0.92Notodden xG
57%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: jerv 2.0 – 0.9 Notodden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win jerv vs Notodden?
On our numbers jerv have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Notodden 15%.
How many goals will there be in jerv vs Notodden?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for jerv vs Notodden?
Our predicted score is jerv 2–0 Notodden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is jerv vs Notodden?
jerv vs Notodden (2. Division Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
