Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultBjarg to win ✓66% · @1.36
Double chanceBjarg or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Bjarg vs Notodden: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Bjarg v Notodden in the 2. Division Group 1, played at Stavollen kunstgress. In the table, Bjarg are 2nd, among the top four, on 54 points after 26 matches; Notodden are 6th (upper half) with 38. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bjarg, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Kvik Halden, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.
Notodden, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Eik-Tønsberg, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bjarg, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Notodden.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bjarg 2.0 xG, Notodden 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bjarg 66%, draw 18%, Notodden 16%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bjarg to win (66%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bjarg 2–0 Notodden. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bjarg66%fair 1.50 · @1.36
Draw18%fair 5.63 · @4.80
Notodden16%fair 6.35 · @5.80
2.86Expected goals
2.03Bjarg xG
0.83Notodden xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Bjarg 2.0 – 0.8 Notodden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bjarg to win✓
66%
1.50
1.36
Double chance
Bjarg or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.60
Draw no bet
Bjarg (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Bjarg -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Bjarg to score first
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Bjarg ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bjarg / FT Bjarg✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.21
–
Recent results
Bjarg – last 6
WWWLWW
3 Oct
@ Kvik Halden
3–2
W
27 Sep
@ Eik-Tønsberg
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Træff
6–1
W
16 Sep
vs Bryne
1–4
L
12 Sep
@ Vidar
4–1
W
6 Sep
vs Arendal
4–0
W
3.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Notodden – last 6
LLWLDW
3 Oct
vs Eik-Tønsberg
1–3
L
26 Sep
@ jerv
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Arendal
4–1
W
16 Sep
vs ODD Ballklubb
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ Træff
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Lysekloster
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bjarg and Notodden.
Our pick is Bjarg to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Bjarg vs Notodden?
On our numbers Bjarg have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Notodden 16%.
How many goals will there be in Bjarg vs Notodden?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bjarg vs Notodden?
Our predicted score is Bjarg 2–0 Notodden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Bjarg vs Notodden?
Bjarg vs Notodden (2. Division Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stavollen kunstgress.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
