Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultNotodden to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceNotodden or draw ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Notodden vs Pors Grenland: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Notodden v Pors Grenland in the 2. Division Group 1, played at Idrettsparken Notodden. In the table, Notodden are 6th, upper half, on 38 points after 26 matches; Pors Grenland are 10th (lower half) with 30.
Current form
Notodden, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Bjarg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Pors Grenland, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mjondalen, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Pors Grenland, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Notodden.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Notodden 1.8 xG, Pors Grenland 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Notodden 60%, draw 24%, Pors Grenland 16%.
Lower-risk option: Notodden or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Notodden or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Notodden 1–0 Pors Grenland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Notodden60%fair 1.67 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.40
Pors Grenland16%fair 6.30 · @3.60
2.57Expected goals
1.77Notodden xG
0.80Pors Grenland xG
60%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Notodden 1.8 – 0.8 Pors Grenland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Notodden to win✗
60%
1.67
1.75
Double chance
Notodden or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.44
Draw no bet
Notodden (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Notodden -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Notodden to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Notodden ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Notodden / FT Notodden✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Notodden – last 6
LLLWLD
11 Oct
@ Bjarg
2–5
L
3 Oct
vs Eik-Tønsberg
1–3
L
26 Sep
@ jerv
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Arendal
4–1
W
16 Sep
vs ODD Ballklubb
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ Træff
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pors Grenland – last 6
LWLWDL
10 Oct
@ Mjondalen
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Vidar
4–1
W
26 Sep
@ Sotra
2–3
L
20 Sep
vs Lysekloster
2–0
W
16 Sep
vs Stabaek
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Eik-Tønsberg
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Notodden and Pors Grenland.
What is the prediction for Notodden vs Pors Grenland?
Our pick is Notodden or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Notodden vs Pors Grenland?
On our numbers Notodden have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pors Grenland 16%.
How many goals will there be in Notodden vs Pors Grenland?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Notodden vs Pors Grenland?
Our predicted score is Notodden 1–0 Pors Grenland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Notodden vs Pors Grenland?
Notodden vs Pors Grenland (2. Division Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Idrettsparken Notodden.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
