Hønefoss vs TryggLade: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 3 May: Hønefoss v TryggLade in the 2. Division Group 2. In the table, Hønefoss are 5th, upper half, on 49 points after 26 matches; TryggLade are 14th (in the drop zone) with 10. There are 39 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Hønefoss, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Levanger, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hønefoss 2.6 xG, TryggLade 1.0 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hønefoss 72%, draw 16%, TryggLade 12%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hønefoss 2–1 TryggLade. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hønefoss72%fair 1.40 · @1.22
Draw16%fair 6.09 · @5.60
TryggLade12%fair 8.41 · @9.25
3.57Expected goals
2.59Hønefoss xG
0.98TryggLade xG
59%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–09%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%
From our goals model: Hønefoss 2.6 – 1.0 TryggLade expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hønefoss to win✓
72%
1.40
1.22
Double chance
Hønefoss or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Draw no bet
Hønefoss (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Hønefoss -1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
First team to score
Hønefoss to score first✗
71%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Hønefoss ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hønefoss / FT Hønefoss✗
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.81
–
Recent results
Hønefoss – last 6
LWDWLD
26 Apr
vs Levanger
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Rana
2–1
W
6 Apr
@ Follo
2–2
D
27 Mar
vs Notodden
3–1
W
20 Mar
@ Stromsgodset
1–3
L
7 Mar
vs Skeid
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
TryggLade – last 2
LL
19 Apr
@ Junkeren
2–3
L
6 Apr
@ Rana
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hønefoss and TryggLade.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Hønefoss vs TryggLade?
On our numbers Hønefoss have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 16% and TryggLade 12%.
How many goals will there be in Hønefoss vs TryggLade?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hønefoss vs TryggLade?
Our predicted score is Hønefoss 2–1 TryggLade, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Hønefoss vs TryggLade?
Hønefoss vs TryggLade (2. Division Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
