Value bet: Levanger to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLevanger to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceLevanger or draw ✓78% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.32
Levanger vs Hønefoss: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Levanger v Hønefoss in the 2. Division Group 2, played at Tobb Arena Levanger. In the table, Levanger are 3rd, among the top four, on 55 points after 26 matches; Hønefoss are 5th (upper half) with 49.
Current form
Levanger, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Tromsdalen Uil, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Hønefoss, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Skeid, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Hønefoss 0–1 Levanger.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Levanger 2.3 xG, Hønefoss 1.5 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 70% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Levanger 55%, draw 23%, Hønefoss 22%.
Lower-risk option: Levanger or draw (78%) at 1.36.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.33.
Price worth noting: Levanger to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Levanger or draw (78%, odds 1.36 – longer than our fair 1.28, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Levanger 2–1 Hønefoss. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Levanger55%fair 1.83 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.80
Hønefoss22%fair 4.51 · @2.88
3.84Expected goals
2.34Levanger xG
1.50Hønefoss xG
70%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–27%
2–06%
1–26%
From our goals model: Levanger 2.3 – 1.5 Hønefoss expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Levanger or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Levanger vs Hønefoss?
On our numbers Levanger have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hønefoss 22%.
How many goals will there be in Levanger vs Hønefoss?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Levanger vs Hønefoss?
Our predicted score is Levanger 2–1 Hønefoss, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Levanger vs Hønefoss?
Levanger vs Hønefoss (2. Division Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Tobb Arena Levanger.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
