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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Heming v Frigg: numbers & prediction

Heming

LWLLD
5–1
FT

Frigg

WLDWD
Heming 54%Draw 22%Frigg 24% Expected goals 2.41 – 1.59
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1

Value bet: Heming to win @ 1.95 – our chance 54% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultHeming to win ✓54% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.84

Heming vs Frigg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Frigg travel to face Heming on Saturday 12 September in the 3. Division Girone 1 – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Heming are 2nd, among the top four, on 53 points after 26 matches; Frigg are 8th (lower half) with 34. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Heming, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gamle Oslo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Frigg, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 5–2 win over IF Ready, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Jun 2026) it ended Frigg 4–1 Heming.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Heming 2.4 xG, Frigg 1.6 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 75% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Heming 54%, draw 22%, Frigg 24%.
  • Price worth noting: Heming to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heming 2–1 Frigg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Heming54%fair 1.84 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @4.33
Frigg24%fair 4.24 · @2.75
4.00Expected goals
2.41Heming xG
1.59Frigg xG
57%Both score
75%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
1–17%
3–17%
2–27%
1–26%
3–25%

From our goals model: Heming 2.4 – 1.6 Frigg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHeming to win ✓54%1.841.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.75–
Draw no betHeming (draw no bet) ✓70%1.43–
Asian handicapFrigg +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75%1.341.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓57%1.76–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
First team to scoreHeming to score first59%1.69–
Half-time resultHeming ahead at half-time ✓44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Heming / FT Heming ✓36%2.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.84–

Recent results

Heming – last 6

LWLLDW
4 Sep@ Gamle Oslo1–2L
30 Augvs Vålerenga II5–2W
22 Augvs Stabaek0–2L
15 Augvs Asker2–5L
8 Aug@ IF Ready1–1D
1 Augvs Bærum3–1W
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Frigg – last 6

WLDWDD
5 Sepvs IF Ready5–2W
22 Augvs Kjelsås0–4L
15 Augvs Lokomotiv Oslo2–2D
8 Aug@ Nordstrand3–2W
1 Augvs Ullern2–2D
27 Jul@ IF Ready3–3D
2.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Jun 2026Frigg v Heming4–1
Heming vs Frigg head-to-head page →

3. Division Girone 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Asker262222+5368
2Heming261655+2953
3Gamle Oslo261439+2545
4IF Ready261367+2345
5Bærum2612410+2040
6Vålerenga II2613112-1240
7Union Carl Berner2612212+138
8Frigg269710-934
9KFUM II2610412-1034
10SF Grei2610115-2331
11Lokomotiv Oslo269314-2430
12Ullern269215-929
13Nordstrand266218-3220
14Konnerud265219-3217

More 3. Division Girone 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Heming vs Frigg?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Heming vs Frigg?

On our numbers Heming have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Frigg 24%.

How many goals will there be in Heming vs Frigg?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Heming vs Frigg?

Our predicted score is Heming 2–1 Frigg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Heming vs Frigg?

Heming vs Frigg (3. Division Girone 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.