Vålerenga II 25%Draw 14%Bærum 62%Expected goals 1.82 – 2.89
62%
Betarazi pick
Bærum to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultBærum to win ✗62% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · fair 1.59
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.63
Vålerenga II vs Bærum: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bærum travel to face Vålerenga II on Saturday 26 September in the 3. Division Girone 1, with Intility Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Vålerenga II are 6th, upper half, on 40 points after 26 matches; Bærum are 5th (upper half) with 40. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Vålerenga II, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ullern, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Bærum, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Union Carl Berner, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Jul 2026) it ended Bærum 6–3 Vålerenga II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vålerenga II 1.8 xG, Bærum 2.9 xG – a total near 4.7. That is an open game on paper: 83% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vålerenga II 25%, draw 14%, Bærum 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bærum to win (62%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vålerenga II 1–2 Bærum. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vålerenga II25%fair 4.08 · @3.40
Draw14%fair 7.19 · @4.50
Bærum62%fair 1.62 · @1.67
4.71Expected goals
1.82Vålerenga II xG
2.89Bærum xG
63%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–27%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–45%
1–15%
From our goals model: Vålerenga II 1.8 – 2.9 Bærum expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Bærum to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Vålerenga II vs Bærum?
On our numbers Vålerenga II have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Bærum 62%.
How many goals will there be in Vålerenga II vs Bærum?
We expect about 4.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vålerenga II vs Bærum?
Our predicted score is Vålerenga II 1–2 Bærum, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.7 goals in total.
When is Vålerenga II vs Bærum?
Vålerenga II vs Bærum (3. Division Girone 1) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Intility Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
