Value bet: Ullern to win @ 1.83 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUllern to win ✓61% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.85
Ullern vs Nordstrand: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nordstrand travel to face Ullern on Saturday 24 October in the 3. Division Girone 1 – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Ullern are 12th, in the drop zone, on 29 points after 26 matches; Nordstrand are 13th (in the drop zone) with 20.
Current form
Ullern, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bærum, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Nordstrand, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Heming, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ullern 2.5 xG, Nordstrand 1.6 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 77% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ullern 61%, draw 14%, Nordstrand 26%.
Price worth noting: Ullern to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ullern 2–1 Nordstrand. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ullern61%fair 1.65 · @1.83
Draw14%fair 7.19 · @4.50
Nordstrand26%fair 3.91 · @2.88
4.05Expected goals
2.49Ullern xG
1.55Nordstrand xG
61%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–17%
1–17%
2–27%
3–25%
2–05%
From our goals model: Ullern 2.5 – 1.6 Nordstrand expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ullern to win✓
61%
1.65
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
–
Draw no bet
Ullern (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Nordstrand +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
First team to score
Ullern to score first✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Ullern ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ullern / FT Ullern✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.85
–
Recent results
Ullern – last 6
LLWLWL
17 Oct
@ Bærum
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs SF Grei
0–2
L
3 Oct
@ KFUM II
3–1
W
26 Sep
@ Heming
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Vålerenga II
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ IF Ready
3–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Nordstrand – last 6
LLLLWD
17 Oct
vs Heming
0–2
L
10 Oct
@ Gamle Oslo
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Vålerenga II
0–3
L
26 Sep
@ Asker
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Lokomotiv Oslo
5–0
W
12 Sep
@ Union Carl Berner
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ullern and Nordstrand.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ullern vs Nordstrand?
On our numbers Ullern have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Nordstrand 26%.
How many goals will there be in Ullern vs Nordstrand?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ullern vs Nordstrand?
Our predicted score is Ullern 2–1 Nordstrand, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Ullern vs Nordstrand?
Ullern vs Nordstrand (3. Division Girone 1) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
