Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Førde to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFørde to win ✓56% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.66
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 13.26
Gneist vs Førde: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 15 August the 3. Division Girone 3 brings Gneist against Førde. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Gneist are 13th, in the drop zone, on 18 points after 26 matches; Førde are 8th (lower half) with 34. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gneist, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Fana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Førde, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 7–0 win over Brann II, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gneist 1.8 xG, Førde 2.6 xG – a total near 4.4. That is an open game on paper: 81% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gneist 23%, draw 21%, Førde 56%.
Price worth noting: Førde to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gneist 1–3 Førde. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gneist23%fair 4.29 · @2.88
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @4.00
Førde56%fair 1.80 · @1.91
4.40Expected goals
1.75Gneist xG
2.65Førde xG
60%Both score
81%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–37%
2–27%
2–36%
1–16%
2–15%
From our goals model: Gneist 1.8 – 2.6 Førde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Førde to win✓
56%
1.80
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
–
Draw no bet
Førde (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Gneist +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
First team to score
Førde to score first✓
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Førde ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Førde / FT Førde✓
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
13.26
–
Recent results
Gneist – last 6
LWLLLW
8 Aug
@ Fana
0–4
L
1 Aug
vs Vard
2–1
W
27 Jul
vs Brann II
0–3
L
27 Jun
@ Djerv
2–6
L
20 Jun
vs Askøy
0–2
L
13 Jun
@ Varegg
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Førde – last 6
WDDLWL
8 Aug
vs Brann II
7–0
W
3 Aug
@ Sogndal II
3–3
D
25 Jul
vs Austevoll
1–1
D
27 Jun
@ Askøy
0–2
L
22 Jun
vs Åsane II
4–0
W
13 Jun
vs Vard
0–1
L
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gneist and Førde.
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Gneist vs Førde?
On our numbers Gneist have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Førde 56%.
How many goals will there be in Gneist vs Førde?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gneist vs Førde?
Our predicted score is Gneist 1–3 Førde, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is Gneist vs Førde?
Gneist vs Førde (3. Division Girone 3) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
