Value bet: Madla to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMadla to win ✓47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · fair 1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.83
Madla vs Flekkerøy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Madla welcome Flekkerøy for a 3. Division Girone 4 fixture on Saturday 25 July (14:00 WAT). In the table, Madla are 1st, leading the league, on 52 points after 26 matches; Flekkerøy are 3rd (among the top four) with 45.
Current form
Madla, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Mandalskameratene, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Flekkerøy, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Åkra, at home. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Flekkerøy, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Madla.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Madla 2.1 xG, Flekkerøy 1.4 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Madla 47%, draw 21%, Flekkerøy 33%.
Price worth noting: Madla to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Madla 2–1 Flekkerøy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Madla47%fair 2.14 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @4.10
Flekkerøy33%fair 3.08 · @2.30
3.50Expected goals
2.06Madla xG
1.44Flekkerøy xG
55%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–19%
2–27%
1–26%
2–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Madla 2.1 – 1.4 Flekkerøy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Madla to win✓
47%
2.14
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
Madla (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Flekkerøy +1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
Madla to score first✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Madla ahead at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Madla / FT Madla✓
33%
3.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.83
–
Recent results
Madla – last 6
DLWDWD
27 Jun
vs Mandalskameratene
2–2
D
22 Jun
@ Haugesund II
2–3
L
13 Jun
vs Åkra
3–1
W
30 May
@ Vindbjart
2–2
D
25 May
vs Hinna
3–0
W
14 May
@ Odd II
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Flekkerøy – last 6
WLWWWW
26 Jun
vs Åkra
3–1
W
22 Jun
@ Odd II
1–3
L
14 Jun
vs Hinna
4–3
W
30 May
@ Haugesund II
4–3
W
23 May
vs Vindbjart
2–0
W
11 May
vs Stabæk II
6–0
W
3.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Madla and Flekkerøy.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Madla vs Flekkerøy?
On our numbers Madla have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Flekkerøy 33%.
How many goals will there be in Madla vs Flekkerøy?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Madla vs Flekkerøy?
Our predicted score is Madla 2–1 Flekkerøy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Madla vs Flekkerøy?
Madla vs Flekkerøy (3. Division Girone 4) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
