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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vindbjart v Flekkerøy: numbers & prediction

1–2
FT
Vindbjart 62%Draw 13%Flekkerøy 25% Expected goals 2.30 – 1.37
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds
1

Value bet: Vindbjart to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultVindbjart to win ✗62% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.84

Vindbjart vs Flekkerøy: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vindbjart welcome Flekkerøy for a 3. Division Girone 4 fixture on Saturday 3 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Vindbjart are 5th, upper half, on 39 points after 26 matches; Flekkerøy are 3rd (among the top four) with 45.

Current form

Vindbjart, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Brodd, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Flekkerøy, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Stabæk II, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended Vindbjart 2–1 Flekkerøy. The last 2 head-to-heads: Vindbjart 1 win, Flekkerøy 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vindbjart 2.3 xG, Flekkerøy 1.4 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vindbjart 62%, draw 13%, Flekkerøy 25%.
  • Price worth noting: Vindbjart to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vindbjart 2–1 Flekkerøy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vindbjart62%fair 1.62 · @1.80
Draw13%fair 7.70 · @4.20
Flekkerøy25%fair 3.94 · @3.20
3.68Expected goals
2.30Vindbjart xG
1.37Flekkerøy xG
57%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%

From our goals model: Vindbjart 2.3 – 1.4 Flekkerøy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVindbjart to win ✗62%1.621.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87%1.151.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.77–
Draw no betVindbjart (draw no bet) ✗71%1.41–
Asian handicapFlekkerøy +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72%1.391.30
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗50%2.00–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
First team to scoreVindbjart to score first ✗61%1.64–
Half-time resultVindbjart ahead at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vindbjart / FT Vindbjart ✗38%2.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.84–

Recent results

Vindbjart – last 6

WLLLWW
26 Sep@ Brodd2–0W
19 Sepvs Mandalskameratene0–1L
16 Sepvs Start2–3L
13 Sep@ Stabæk II1–3L
5 Sepvs Hinna2–0W
30 Aug@ Haugesund II4–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Flekkerøy – last 6

WDLLWL
27 Sep@ Stabæk II2–1W
19 Sepvs Varhaug1–1D
12 Sep@ Mandalskameratene1–3L
5 Sepvs Madla0–2L
30 Aug@ Åkra4–1W
22 Aug@ Vindbjart1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Aug 2026Vindbjart v Flekkerøy2–1
23 May 2026Flekkerøy v Vindbjart2–0
Vindbjart vs Flekkerøy head-to-head page →

3. Division Girone 4 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Madla261574+3252
2Mandalskameratene261547+2249
3Flekkerøy261439+945
4Varhaug261268+742
5Vindbjart2612311+1839
6Brodd2612311+1039
7Våg2612311+439
8Viking II2610511+1935
9Stabæk II2610511-335
10Odd II269512-1532
11Hinna268612-2230
12Staal Jørpeland268513-1529
13Haugesund II268414-2328
14Åkra266317-4321

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vindbjart vs Flekkerøy?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Vindbjart vs Flekkerøy?

On our numbers Vindbjart have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Flekkerøy 25%.

How many goals will there be in Vindbjart vs Flekkerøy?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vindbjart vs Flekkerøy?

Our predicted score is Vindbjart 2–1 Flekkerøy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Vindbjart vs Flekkerøy?

Vindbjart vs Flekkerøy (3. Division Girone 4) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.