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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Madla v Staal Jørpeland: numbers & prediction

Madla

WLLWD
3–1
FT
Madla 70%Draw 20%Staal Jørpeland 10% Expected goals 2.95 – 1.20
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultMadla to win ✓70% · @1.25
Double chanceMadla or draw ✓90% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.15

Madla vs Staal Jørpeland: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Madla welcome Staal Jørpeland for a 3. Division Girone 4 fixture on Saturday 17 October (13:00 WAT). In the table, Madla are 1st, leading the league, on 52 points after 26 matches; Staal Jørpeland are 12th (in the drop zone) with 29. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Madla, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Varhaug, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Staal Jørpeland, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Våg, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Madla, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Staal Jørpeland.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Madla 3.0 xG, Staal Jørpeland 1.2 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 78% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Madla 70%, draw 20%, Staal Jørpeland 10%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Madla 2–1 Staal Jørpeland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Madla70%fair 1.42 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @5.75
Staal Jørpeland10%fair 10.41 · @7.00
4.15Expected goals
2.95Madla xG
1.20Staal Jørpeland xG
54%Both score
78%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
4–16%
1–16%

From our goals model: Madla 3.0 – 1.2 Staal Jørpeland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMadla to win ✓70%1.421.25
Double chanceMadla or draw ✓90%1.111.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.87–
Draw no betMadla (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapMadla -1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78%1.281.20
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓60%1.68–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓60%1.67–
First team to scoreMadla to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultMadla ahead at half-time ✓56%1.80–
Half-time / full-timeHT Madla / FT Madla ✓51%1.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.15–

Recent results

Madla – last 6

WLLWDW
10 Oct@ Varhaug3–1W
4 Octvs Brodd0–1L
1 Octvs Viking0–3L
26 Sep@ Åkra6–0W
21 Sepvs Haugesund II1–1D
12 Sep@ Hinna4–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Staal Jørpeland – last 6

LWLDWL
10 Octvs Våg0–4L
2 Oct@ Hinna4–2W
25 Sep@ Varhaug2–4L
21 Sepvs Viking II2–2D
12 Sep@ Brodd3–1W
5 Sepvs Mandalskameratene0–2L
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Madla and Staal Jørpeland.

Madla vs Staal Jørpeland head-to-head page →

3. Division Girone 4 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Madla261574+3252
2Mandalskameratene261547+2249
3Flekkerøy261439+945
4Varhaug261268+742
5Vindbjart2612311+1839
6Brodd2612311+1039
7Våg2612311+439
8Viking II2610511+1935
9Stabæk II2610511-335
10Odd II269512-1532
11Hinna268612-2230
12Staal Jørpeland268513-1529
13Haugesund II268414-2328
14Åkra266317-4321

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Madla vs Staal Jørpeland?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Madla vs Staal Jørpeland?

On our numbers Madla have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Staal Jørpeland 10%.

How many goals will there be in Madla vs Staal Jørpeland?

We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Madla vs Staal Jørpeland?

Our predicted score is Madla 2–1 Staal Jørpeland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.

When is Madla vs Staal Jørpeland?

Madla vs Staal Jørpeland (3. Division Girone 4) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.