Value bet: Råde to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRåde to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.74
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.08
Råde vs Gjøvik-Lyn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gjøvik-Lyn travel to face Råde on Saturday 5 September in the 3. Division Girone 6 – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Råde are 3rd, among the top four, on 46 points after 26 matches; Gjøvik-Lyn are 4th (among the top four) with 45. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Råde, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Sarpsborg 08 II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.
Gjøvik-Lyn, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Brumunddal, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Råde, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Gjøvik-Lyn.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Jul 2026) it ended Gjøvik-Lyn 0–3 Råde.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Råde 2.3 xG, Gjøvik-Lyn 1.4 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Råde 60%, draw 15%, Gjøvik-Lyn 26%.
Price worth noting: Råde to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Råde 2–1 Gjøvik-Lyn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Råde60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
Draw15%fair 6.87 · @4.20
Gjøvik-Lyn26%fair 3.89 · @2.75
3.76Expected goals
2.32Råde xG
1.44Gjøvik-Lyn xG
57%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–26%
2–06%
1–26%
From our goals model: Råde 2.3 – 1.4 Gjøvik-Lyn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Råde vs Gjøvik-Lyn?
On our numbers Råde have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Gjøvik-Lyn 26%.
How many goals will there be in Råde vs Gjøvik-Lyn?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Råde vs Gjøvik-Lyn?
Our predicted score is Råde 2–1 Gjøvik-Lyn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Råde vs Gjøvik-Lyn?
Råde vs Gjøvik-Lyn (3. Division Girone 6) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
