Value bet: Råde to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRåde to win ✗57% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · fair 1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.68
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.92
Ørn Horten vs Råde: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the 3. Division Girone 6 brings Ørn Horten against Råde at Lystlunden Stadion. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Ørn Horten are 7th, upper half, on 39 points after 26 matches; Råde are 3rd (among the top four) with 46.
Current form
Ørn Horten, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Lyn II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Råde, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 14–0 win over Brumunddal, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Råde, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Ørn Horten.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ørn Horten 1.6 xG, Råde 2.4 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ørn Horten 27%, draw 16%, Råde 57%.
Price worth noting: Råde to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ørn Horten 1–2 Råde. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ørn Horten27%fair 3.73 · @2.88
Draw16%fair 6.25 · @4.33
Råde57%fair 1.75 · @1.90
4.03Expected goals
1.61Ørn Horten xG
2.42Råde xG
59%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–17%
1–37%
2–27%
2–16%
2–35%
From our goals model: Ørn Horten 1.6 – 2.4 Råde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Råde to win✗
57%
1.75
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
–
Draw no bet
Råde (draw no bet)✗
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Ørn Horten +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
–
First team to score
Råde to score first✗
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Råde ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Råde / FT Råde✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.92
–
Recent results
Ørn Horten – last 6
LLWWLD
19 Oct
@ Lyn II
1–3
L
10 Oct
vs Lillehammer
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Brumunddal
4–0
W
26 Sep
vs Fram
4–2
W
19 Sep
vs Oppsal
0–2
L
12 Sep
@ Sandefjord II
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Råde – last 6
WWDLDW
17 Oct
vs Brumunddal
14–0
W
12 Oct
@ Sandefjord II
2–0
W
5 Oct
@ Lyn II
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Lillehammer
1–5
L
19 Sep
@ Fram
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Elverum
4–2
W
3.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ørn Horten and Råde.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Ørn Horten vs Råde?
On our numbers Ørn Horten have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Råde 57%.
How many goals will there be in Ørn Horten vs Råde?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ørn Horten vs Råde?
Our predicted score is Ørn Horten 1–2 Råde, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Ørn Horten vs Råde?
Ørn Horten vs Råde (3. Division Girone 6) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Lystlunden Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
