Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: IFK Norrkoping to win @ 2.10 – our chance 57% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIFK Norrkoping to win ✓57% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
IFK Norrkoping vs IFK Varnamo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
IFK Varnamo travel to face IFK Norrkoping on Saturday 4 April in the Superettan, with PlatinumCars Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 11:30 WAT. In the table, IFK Norrkoping are 1st, leading the league, on 68 points after 30 matches; IFK Varnamo are 11th (lower half) with 35. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
IFK Varnamo, last 4: LLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mjallby AIF, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give IFK Norrkoping 2.0 xG, IFK Varnamo 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – IFK Norrkoping 57%, draw 21%, IFK Varnamo 22%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: IFK Norrkoping to win @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: IFK Norrkoping 2–0 IFK Varnamo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
IFK Norrkoping57%fair 1.77 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.65
IFK Varnamo22%fair 4.53 · @3.20
2.92Expected goals
2.02IFK Norrkoping xG
0.90IFK Varnamo xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: IFK Norrkoping 2.0 – 0.9 IFK Varnamo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IFK Norrkoping to win✓
57%
1.77
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.55
Draw no bet
IFK Norrkoping (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
IFK Norrkoping -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.53
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.18
First team to score
IFK Norrkoping to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
IFK Norrkoping ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IFK Norrkoping / FT IFK Norrkoping✓
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
IFK Norrkoping – last 2
LW
27 Mar
@ Degerfors IF
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs Sandviken
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
IFK Varnamo – last 4
LLDW
7 Mar
@ Mjallby AIF
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Kalmar FF
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Orgryte IS
2–2
D
13 Feb
vs Landskrona BoIS
4–2
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between IFK Norrkoping and IFK Varnamo.
What is the prediction for IFK Norrkoping vs IFK Varnamo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win IFK Norrkoping vs IFK Varnamo?
On our numbers IFK Norrkoping have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and IFK Varnamo 22%.
How many goals will there be in IFK Norrkoping vs IFK Varnamo?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IFK Norrkoping vs IFK Varnamo?
Our predicted score is IFK Norrkoping 2–0 IFK Varnamo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is IFK Norrkoping vs IFK Varnamo?
IFK Norrkoping vs IFK Varnamo (Superettan) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at PlatinumCars Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
