IFK Varnamo v GIF Sundsvall: numbers & prediction

IFK Varnamo vs GIF Sundsvall: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

GIF Sundsvall travel to face IFK Varnamo on Tuesday 14 April in the Superettan, with Finnvedsvallen the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, IFK Varnamo are 11th, lower half, on 35 points after 30 matches; GIF Sundsvall are 16th (in the drop zone) with 19. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

IFK Varnamo, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to IFK Norrkoping, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.

GIF Sundsvall, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over United Nordic, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours GIF Sundsvall, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for IFK Varnamo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give IFK Varnamo 2.6 xG, GIF Sundsvall 1.2 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – IFK Varnamo 62%, draw 22%, GIF Sundsvall 16%.
• Lower-risk option: IFK Varnamo or draw (84%) at 1.22.
• GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.55.
• Price worth noting: IFK Varnamo to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was IFK Varnamo or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: IFK Varnamo 2–1 GIF Sundsvall. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.