Value bet: IFK Norrkoping to win @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIFK Norrkoping to win ✗53% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Orebro SK vs IFK Norrkoping: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 21 April the Superettan brings Orebro SK against IFK Norrkoping at Behrn Arena. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Orebro SK are 13th, lower half, on 30 points after 30 matches; IFK Norrkoping are 1st (leading the league) with 68. There are 38 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Orebro SK, last 4: WLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Landskrona BoIS, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
IFK Norrkoping, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 6–0 win over IFK Varnamo, at home. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours IFK Norrkoping, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Orebro SK.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orebro SK 0.9 xG, IFK Norrkoping 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orebro SK 24%, draw 23%, IFK Norrkoping 53%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: IFK Norrkoping to win @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orebro SK 1–1 IFK Norrkoping. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orebro SK24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.65
IFK Norrkoping53%fair 1.89 · @2.15
2.58Expected goals
0.89Orebro SK xG
1.69IFK Norrkoping xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Orebro SK 0.9 – 1.7 IFK Norrkoping expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IFK Norrkoping to win✗
53%
1.89
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.50
Draw no bet
IFK Norrkoping (draw no bet)✗
69%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Orebro SK +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.20
First team to score
IFK Norrkoping to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IFK Norrkoping / FT IFK Norrkoping✗
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.38
–
Recent results
Orebro SK – last 4
WLLD
6 Apr
vs Landskrona BoIS
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ IK brage
1–2
L
2 Mar
vs Hammarby FF
3–5
L
21 Feb
@ Osters IF
3–3
D
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
IFK Norrkoping – last 3
WLW
4 Apr
vs IFK Varnamo
6–0
W
27 Mar
@ Degerfors IF
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs Sandviken
2–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orebro SK and IFK Norrkoping.
What is the prediction for Orebro SK vs IFK Norrkoping?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Orebro SK vs IFK Norrkoping?
On our numbers Orebro SK have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 23% and IFK Norrkoping 53%.
How many goals will there be in Orebro SK vs IFK Norrkoping?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orebro SK vs IFK Norrkoping?
Our predicted score is Orebro SK 1–1 IFK Norrkoping, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Orebro SK vs IFK Norrkoping?
Orebro SK vs IFK Norrkoping (Superettan) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Behrn Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
