Value bet: Ostersunds FK to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOstersunds FK to win ✓40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.16
Ostersunds FK vs IFK Varnamo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
IFK Varnamo travel to face Ostersunds FK on Sunday 3 May in the Superettan, with Jamtkraft Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Ostersunds FK are 4th, among the top four, on 49 points after 30 matches; IFK Varnamo are 11th (lower half) with 35. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ostersunds FK, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Helsingborg, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
IFK Varnamo, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Oddevold, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ostersunds FK 1.4 xG, IFK Varnamo 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ostersunds FK 40%, draw 26%, IFK Varnamo 34%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Ostersunds FK to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ostersunds FK 1–1 IFK Varnamo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ostersunds FK40%fair 2.49 · @2.80
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.40
IFK Varnamo34%fair 2.98 · @2.40
2.53Expected goals
1.43Ostersunds FK xG
1.10IFK Varnamo xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Ostersunds FK 1.4 – 1.1 IFK Varnamo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ostersunds FK to win✓
40%
2.49
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Draw no bet
Ostersunds FK (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
IFK Varnamo +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
1.11
First team to score
Ostersunds FK to score first✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ostersunds FK / FT Ostersunds FK✓
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.16
–
Recent results
Ostersunds FK – last 6
LWLWDL
19 Apr
@ Helsingborg
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Varbergs BoIS FC
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Vasteras SK FK
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs trelleborgs FF
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ IFK Goteborg
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs GIF Sundsvall
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
IFK Varnamo – last 6
WWLLLD
26 Apr
vs Oddevold
3–1
W
14 Apr
vs GIF Sundsvall
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ IFK Norrkoping
0–6
L
7 Mar
@ Mjallby AIF
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Kalmar FF
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Orgryte IS
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ostersunds FK and IFK Varnamo.
What is the prediction for Ostersunds FK vs IFK Varnamo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Ostersunds FK vs IFK Varnamo?
On our numbers Ostersunds FK have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and IFK Varnamo 34%.
How many goals will there be in Ostersunds FK vs IFK Varnamo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ostersunds FK vs IFK Varnamo?
Our predicted score is Ostersunds FK 1–1 IFK Varnamo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ostersunds FK vs IFK Varnamo?
Ostersunds FK vs IFK Varnamo (Superettan) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Jamtkraft Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
