Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: IFK Norrkoping to win @ 1.85 – our chance 66% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultIFK Norrkoping to win66% · @1.85
Double chanceIFK Norrkoping or draw84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.70
GIF Sundsvall vs IFK Norrkoping: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 9 May the Superettan brings GIF Sundsvall against IFK Norrkoping at NP3 Arena. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, GIF Sundsvall are 16th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 30 matches; IFK Norrkoping are 1st (leading the league) with 68. There are 49 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
GIF Sundsvall, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to IK brage, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
IFK Norrkoping, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Falkenbergs FF, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours GIF Sundsvall, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for IFK Norrkoping.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give GIF Sundsvall 0.7 xG, IFK Norrkoping 2.3 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – GIF Sundsvall 16%, draw 17%, IFK Norrkoping 66%.
Lower-risk option: IFK Norrkoping or draw (84%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: IFK Norrkoping to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was IFK Norrkoping or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: GIF Sundsvall 0–2 IFK Norrkoping. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
GIF Sundsvall16%fair 6.14 · @3.75
Draw17%fair 5.77 · @3.75
IFK Norrkoping66%fair 1.51 · @1.85
3.06Expected goals
0.74GIF Sundsvall xG
2.32IFK Norrkoping xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–213%
0–111%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: GIF Sundsvall 0.7 – 2.3 IFK Norrkoping expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IFK Norrkoping to win
66%
1.51
1.85 ▲
Double chance
IFK Norrkoping or draw
84%
1.19
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.76
1.55
Draw no bet
IFK Norrkoping (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
IFK Norrkoping -1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
81%
1.24
1.18
First team to score
IFK Norrkoping to score first
72%
1.38
–
Half-time result
IFK Norrkoping ahead at half-time
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IFK Norrkoping / FT IFK Norrkoping
49%
2.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.70
–
Recent results
GIF Sundsvall – last 6
LLWWWD
20 Apr
vs IK brage
1–2
L
14 Apr
@ IFK Varnamo
0–3
L
6 Apr
vs United Nordic
3–2
W
28 Mar
vs Hammarby Talang
3–0
W
20 Mar
@ VPS
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Helsingborg
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
IFK Norrkoping – last 6
LLLWLW
5 May
@ Falkenbergs FF
0–1
L
28 Apr
vs Landskrona BoIS
1–3
L
21 Apr
@ Orebro SK
1–2
L
4 Apr
vs IFK Varnamo
6–0
W
27 Mar
@ Degerfors IF
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs Sandviken
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GIF Sundsvall and IFK Norrkoping.
What is the prediction for GIF Sundsvall vs IFK Norrkoping?
Our pick is IFK Norrkoping or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win GIF Sundsvall vs IFK Norrkoping?
On our numbers GIF Sundsvall have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 17% and IFK Norrkoping 66%.
How many goals will there be in GIF Sundsvall vs IFK Norrkoping?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GIF Sundsvall vs IFK Norrkoping?
Our predicted score is GIF Sundsvall 0–2 IFK Norrkoping, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is GIF Sundsvall vs IFK Norrkoping?
GIF Sundsvall vs IFK Norrkoping (Superettan) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at NP3 Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
