IFK Varnamo vs Norrby IF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
IFK Varnamo welcome Norrby IF to Finnvedsvallen for a Superettan fixture on Sunday 17 May (16:00 WAT). In the table, IFK Varnamo are 11th, lower half, on 35 points after 30 matches; Norrby IF are 14th (in the drop zone) with 28.
Current form
IFK Varnamo, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Orebro SK, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Norrby IF, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Landskrona BoIS, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give IFK Varnamo 1.7 xG, Norrby IF 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – IFK Varnamo 51%, draw 26%, Norrby IF 22%.
Lower-risk option: IFK Varnamo or draw (78%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was IFK Varnamo or draw (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: IFK Varnamo 1–1 Norrby IF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
IFK Varnamo51%fair 1.95 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.55
Norrby IF22%fair 4.46 · @3.60
2.84Expected goals
1.72IFK Varnamo xG
1.12Norrby IF xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: IFK Varnamo 1.7 – 1.1 Norrby IF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IFK Varnamo to win✗
51%
1.95
1.95
Double chance
IFK Varnamo or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Draw no bet
IFK Varnamo (draw no bet)
70%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Norrby IF +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.13
First team to score
IFK Varnamo to score first
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IFK Varnamo / FT IFK Varnamo✗
32%
3.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.32
–
Recent results
IFK Varnamo – last 6
LLLWWL
12 May
vs Orebro SK
0–1
L
8 May
@ Varbergs BoIS FC
2–3
L
3 May
@ Ostersunds FK
2–3
L
26 Apr
vs Oddevold
3–1
W
14 Apr
vs GIF Sundsvall
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ IFK Norrkoping
0–6
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Norrby IF – last 6
DDLLWL
12 May
@ Landskrona BoIS
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Falkenbergs FF
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs IK brage
0–1
L
28 Mar
vs Skövde AIK
1–2
L
19 Mar
vs Dalstorps
4–1
W
7 Mar
@ Ljungskile SK
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between IFK Varnamo and Norrby IF.
What is the prediction for IFK Varnamo vs Norrby IF?
Our pick is IFK Varnamo or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win IFK Varnamo vs Norrby IF?
On our numbers IFK Varnamo have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Norrby IF 22%.
How many goals will there be in IFK Varnamo vs Norrby IF?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IFK Varnamo vs Norrby IF?
Our predicted score is IFK Varnamo 1–1 Norrby IF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is IFK Varnamo vs Norrby IF?
IFK Varnamo vs Norrby IF (Superettan) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Finnvedsvallen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
