Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Falkenbergs FF to win @ 2.25 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFalkenbergs FF to win ✓48% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36
Falkenbergs FF vs IFK Varnamo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
IFK Varnamo travel to face Falkenbergs FF on Saturday 23 May in the Superettan, with Falcon Alkoholfri Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Falkenbergs FF are 2nd, among the top four, on 54 points after 30 matches; IFK Varnamo are 11th (lower half) with 35. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Falkenbergs FF, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over United Nordic, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
IFK Varnamo, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Norrby IF, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Falkenbergs FF 1.8 xG, IFK Varnamo 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Falkenbergs FF 48%, draw 23%, IFK Varnamo 29%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Falkenbergs FF to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Falkenbergs FF 1–1 IFK Varnamo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Falkenbergs FF48%fair 2.09 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.50
IFK Varnamo29%fair 3.46 · @2.95
3.07Expected goals
1.84Falkenbergs FF xG
1.24IFK Varnamo xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
1–26%
2–26%
From our goals model: Falkenbergs FF 1.8 – 1.2 IFK Varnamo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Falkenbergs FF to win✓
48%
2.09
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.62
Draw no bet
Falkenbergs FF (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
IFK Varnamo +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.14
First team to score
Falkenbergs FF to score first✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Falkenbergs FF ahead at half-time✓
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Falkenbergs FF / FT Falkenbergs FF✓
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Falkenbergs FF – last 6
WLDWDD
17 May
@ United Nordic
4–1
W
13 May
vs Varbergs BoIS FC
0–3
L
9 May
@ Ostersunds FK
2–2
D
5 May
vs IFK Norrkoping
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Norrby IF
2–2
D
6 Apr
vs Ljungskile SK
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
IFK Varnamo – last 6
DLLLWW
17 May
vs Norrby IF
2–2
D
12 May
vs Orebro SK
0–1
L
8 May
@ Varbergs BoIS FC
2–3
L
3 May
@ Ostersunds FK
2–3
L
26 Apr
vs Oddevold
3–1
W
14 Apr
vs GIF Sundsvall
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Falkenbergs FF and IFK Varnamo.
What is the prediction for Falkenbergs FF vs IFK Varnamo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Falkenbergs FF vs IFK Varnamo?
On our numbers Falkenbergs FF have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and IFK Varnamo 29%.
How many goals will there be in Falkenbergs FF vs IFK Varnamo?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Falkenbergs FF vs IFK Varnamo?
Our predicted score is Falkenbergs FF 1–1 IFK Varnamo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Falkenbergs FF vs IFK Varnamo?
Falkenbergs FF vs IFK Varnamo (Superettan) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Falcon Alkoholfri Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
