Value bet: IFK Norrkoping to win @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIFK Norrkoping to win ✓51% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
IFK Norrkoping vs Varbergs BoIS FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
IFK Norrkoping welcome Varbergs BoIS FC to Norrkopings Idrottspark for a Superettan fixture on Monday 15 June (18:05 WAT). In the table, IFK Norrkoping are 1st, leading the league, on 68 points after 30 matches; Varbergs BoIS FC are 3rd (among the top four) with 51. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
IFK Norrkoping, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Oddevold, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Varbergs BoIS FC, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Norrby IF, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Varbergs BoIS FC, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for IFK Norrkoping.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give IFK Norrkoping 1.8 xG, Varbergs BoIS FC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – IFK Norrkoping 51%, draw 24%, Varbergs BoIS FC 26%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: IFK Norrkoping to win @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: IFK Norrkoping 1–1 Varbergs BoIS FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
IFK Norrkoping51%fair 1.98 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.55
Varbergs BoIS FC26%fair 3.86 · @3.20
2.76Expected goals
1.76IFK Norrkoping xG
0.99Varbergs BoIS FC xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: IFK Norrkoping 1.8 – 1.0 Varbergs BoIS FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IFK Norrkoping to win✓
51%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.57
Draw no bet
IFK Norrkoping (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Varbergs BoIS FC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.17
First team to score
IFK Norrkoping to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IFK Norrkoping / FT IFK Norrkoping✓
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
IFK Norrkoping – last 6
WWWDLL
9 Jun
@ Oddevold
2–1
W
31 May
@ Helsingborg
2–0
W
25 May
vs Osters IF
2–0
W
13 May
vs United Nordic
1–1
D
5 May
@ Falkenbergs FF
0–1
L
28 Apr
vs Landskrona BoIS
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Varbergs BoIS FC – last 6
WWWWWW
10 Jun
vs Norrby IF
2–0
W
30 May
@ Ljungskile SK
3–1
W
24 May
vs GIF Sundsvall
1–0
W
19 May
@ Helsingborg
3–1
W
13 May
@ Falkenbergs FF
3–0
W
8 May
vs IFK Varnamo
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between IFK Norrkoping and Varbergs BoIS FC.
What is the prediction for IFK Norrkoping vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win IFK Norrkoping vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
On our numbers IFK Norrkoping have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Varbergs BoIS FC 26%.
How many goals will there be in IFK Norrkoping vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IFK Norrkoping vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
Our predicted score is IFK Norrkoping 1–1 Varbergs BoIS FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is IFK Norrkoping vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
IFK Norrkoping vs Varbergs BoIS FC (Superettan) kicks off on Monday 15 June 2026 at 18:05 (West Africa Time) at Norrkopings Idrottspark.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
