Falkenbergs FF 61%Draw 22%Norrby IF 17%Expected goals 2.04 – 0.98
83%
Betarazi pick
Falkenbergs FF or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Falkenbergs FF to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFalkenbergs FF to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceFalkenbergs FF or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Falkenbergs FF welcome Norrby IF to Falcon Alkoholfri Arena for a Superettan fixture on Saturday 15 August (16:00 WAT). In the table, Falkenbergs FF are 2nd, among the top four, on 54 points after 30 matches; Norrby IF are 14th (in the drop zone) with 28. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Falkenbergs FF, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with United Nordic, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Norrby IF, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Orebro SK, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Norrby IF, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Falkenbergs FF.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Norrby IF 2–2 Falkenbergs FF.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Falkenbergs FF 2.0 xG, Norrby IF 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Falkenbergs FF 61%, draw 22%, Norrby IF 17%.
Lower-risk option: Falkenbergs FF or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Falkenbergs FF to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Falkenbergs FF or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Falkenbergs FF 2–0 Norrby IF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Falkenbergs FF61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.80
Norrby IF17%fair 6.02 · @3.80
3.02Expected goals
2.04Falkenbergs FF xG
0.98Norrby IF xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Falkenbergs FF 2.0 – 1.0 Norrby IF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF?
Our pick is Falkenbergs FF or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF?
On our numbers Falkenbergs FF have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Norrby IF 17%.
How many goals will there be in Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF?
Our predicted score is Falkenbergs FF 2–0 Norrby IF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF?
Falkenbergs FF vs Norrby IF (Superettan) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Falcon Alkoholfri Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
