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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

IFK Varnamo v Ostersunds FK: numbers & prediction

Superettan · Sweden · Finnvedsvallen
1–1
FT
IFK Varnamo 36%Draw 21%Ostersunds FK 43% Expected goals 1.36 – 1.52
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Ostersunds FK to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultOstersunds FK to win ✗43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.34

IFK Varnamo vs Ostersunds FK: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

IFK Varnamo welcome Ostersunds FK to Finnvedsvallen for a Superettan fixture on Sunday 16 August (12:00 WAT). In the table, IFK Varnamo are 11th, lower half, on 35 points after 30 matches; Ostersunds FK are 4th (among the top four) with 49. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

IFK Varnamo, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Helsingborg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Ostersunds FK, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over GIF Sundsvall, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Ostersunds FK, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for IFK Varnamo.

Head to head

When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Ostersunds FK 3–2 IFK Varnamo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give IFK Varnamo 1.4 xG, Ostersunds FK 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – IFK Varnamo 36%, draw 21%, Ostersunds FK 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.
  • Price worth noting: Ostersunds FK to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: IFK Varnamo 1–1 Ostersunds FK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

IFK Varnamo36%fair 2.80 · @2.55
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.50
Ostersunds FK43%fair 2.33 · @2.55
2.88Expected goals
1.36IFK Varnamo xG
1.52Ostersunds FK xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%

From our goals model: IFK Varnamo 1.4 – 1.5 Ostersunds FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOstersunds FK to win ✗43%2.332.55 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.60
Draw no betOstersunds FK (draw no bet)55%1.83–
Asian handicapIFK Varnamo +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.471.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.201.14
First team to scoreOstersunds FK to score first ✗50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ostersunds FK / FT Ostersunds FK ✗24%4.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.34–

Recent results

IFK Varnamo – last 6

WWDLLL
11 Aug@ Helsingborg2–1W
3 Aug@ Orebro SK3–1W
25 Julvs IK brage0–0D
19 Julvs Ljungskile SK2–3L
13 Julvs Naestved0–2L
28 Jun@ Landskrona BoIS0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ostersunds FK – last 6

WWDWWL
7 Augvs GIF Sundsvall1–0W
1 Augvs Osters IF1–0W
26 Jul@ Norrby IF2–2D
18 Julvs Landskrona BoIS2–0W
27 Jun@ GIF Sundsvall2–0W
21 Junvs IFK Norrkoping0–2L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 May 2026Ostersunds FK v IFK Varnamo3–2
IFK Varnamo vs Ostersunds FK head-to-head page →

Superettan table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1IFK Norrkoping302154+4568
2Falkenbergs FF301668+1454
3Varbergs BoIS FC301497+1351
4Ostersunds FK3012135+949
5Landskrona BoIS301398+1448
6Oddevold3012108+1246
7Osters IF3014412+446
8United Nordic3011910-642
9Sandviken3011811+741
10Ljungskile SK3081111-135
11IFK Varnamo3010515-1235
12Helsingborg309813-1335
13Orebro SK3061212-1230
14Norrby IF3051312-1328
15IK brage306915-1127
16GIF Sundsvall306123-5019

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for IFK Varnamo vs Ostersunds FK?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win IFK Varnamo vs Ostersunds FK?

On our numbers IFK Varnamo have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ostersunds FK 43%.

How many goals will there be in IFK Varnamo vs Ostersunds FK?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for IFK Varnamo vs Ostersunds FK?

Our predicted score is IFK Varnamo 1–1 Ostersunds FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is IFK Varnamo vs Ostersunds FK?

IFK Varnamo vs Ostersunds FK (Superettan) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Finnvedsvallen.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.