Value bet: Varbergs BoIS FC to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVarbergs BoIS FC to win ✗44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.29
Orebro SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Tuesday 25 August: Orebro SK v Varbergs BoIS FC in the Superettan, played at Behrn Arena. In the table, Orebro SK are 13th, lower half, on 30 points after 30 matches; Varbergs BoIS FC are 3rd (among the top four) with 51. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Orebro SK, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Sollentuna, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Varbergs BoIS FC, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Böljan, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Varbergs BoIS FC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Orebro SK.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orebro SK 1.3 xG, Varbergs BoIS FC 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orebro SK 35%, draw 22%, Varbergs BoIS FC 44%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Varbergs BoIS FC to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orebro SK 1–1 Varbergs BoIS FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orebro SK35%fair 2.87 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.40
Varbergs BoIS FC44%fair 2.30 · @2.45
2.77Expected goals
1.29Orebro SK xG
1.48Varbergs BoIS FC xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Orebro SK 1.3 – 1.5 Varbergs BoIS FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Varbergs BoIS FC to win✗
44%
2.30
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Draw no bet
Varbergs BoIS FC (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Orebro SK +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.13
First team to score
Varbergs BoIS FC to score first✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Varbergs BoIS FC / FT Varbergs BoIS FC✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.29
–
Recent results
Orebro SK – last 6
WDLLDL
18 Aug
@ Sollentuna
4–1
W
14 Aug
@ IK brage
3–3
D
10 Aug
@ Norrby IF
1–3
L
3 Aug
vs IFK Varnamo
1–3
L
27 Jul
vs Oddevold
0–0
D
19 Jul
@ United Nordic
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Varbergs BoIS FC – last 6
WDLWLW
18 Aug
@ Böljan
5–0
W
15 Aug
@ United Nordic
0–0
D
9 Aug
vs Sandviken
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Falkenbergs FF
2–1
W
27 Jul
@ Osters IF
0–3
L
18 Jul
@ Oddevold
4–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orebro SK and Varbergs BoIS FC.
What is the prediction for Orebro SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Orebro SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
On our numbers Orebro SK have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Varbergs BoIS FC 44%.
How many goals will there be in Orebro SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orebro SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
Our predicted score is Orebro SK 1–1 Varbergs BoIS FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Orebro SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
Orebro SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC (Superettan) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Behrn Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
