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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Norrby IF v Varbergs BoIS FC: numbers & prediction

Superettan · Sweden
1–2
FT
Norrby IF 31%Draw 22%Varbergs BoIS FC 48% Expected goals 1.21 – 1.59
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2

Value bet: Varbergs BoIS FC to win @ 2.25 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultVarbergs BoIS FC to win ✓48% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.76

Norrby IF vs Varbergs BoIS FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Norrby IF welcome Varbergs BoIS FC for a Superettan fixture on Monday 14 September (18:00 WAT). In the table, Norrby IF are 14th, in the drop zone, on 28 points after 30 matches; Varbergs BoIS FC are 3rd (among the top four) with 51. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Norrby IF, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ljungskile SK, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Varbergs BoIS FC, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to IFK Norrkoping, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Varbergs BoIS FC, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Norrby IF.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Jul 2026) it ended Varbergs BoIS FC 4–2 Norrby IF. The last 2 head-to-heads: Norrby IF 0 wins, Varbergs BoIS FC 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Norrby IF 1.2 xG, Varbergs BoIS FC 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Norrby IF 31%, draw 22%, Varbergs BoIS FC 48%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Varbergs BoIS FC to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Norrby IF 1–1 Varbergs BoIS FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Norrby IF31%fair 3.26 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.30
Varbergs BoIS FC48%fair 2.10 · @2.25
2.80Expected goals
1.21Norrby IF xG
1.59Varbergs BoIS FC xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Norrby IF 1.2 – 1.6 Varbergs BoIS FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVarbergs BoIS FC to win ✓48%2.102.25 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.62
Draw no betVarbergs BoIS FC (draw no bet) ✓61%1.64–
Asian handicapNorrby IF +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreVarbergs BoIS FC to score first ✗53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Varbergs BoIS FC / FT Varbergs BoIS FC ✗28%3.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%10.76–

Recent results

Norrby IF – last 6

LLLWDL
9 Sep@ Ljungskile SK1–2L
5 Sepvs Landskrona BoIS1–3L
31 Aug@ GIF Sundsvall0–1L
26 Aug@ Dalstorps2–0W
23 Augvs Sandviken1–1D
15 Aug@ Falkenbergs FF0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Varbergs BoIS FC – last 6

LDWLWD
10 Sepvs IFK Norrkoping0–2L
5 Sep@ IFK Varnamo1–1D
30 Augvs Oddevold3–1W
25 Aug@ Orebro SK1–2L
18 Aug@ Böljan5–0W
15 Aug@ United Nordic0–0D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Jul 2026Varbergs BoIS FC v Norrby IF4–2
10 Jun 2026Varbergs BoIS FC v Norrby IF2–0
Norrby IF vs Varbergs BoIS FC head-to-head page →

Superettan table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1IFK Norrkoping302154+4568
2Falkenbergs FF301668+1454
3Varbergs BoIS FC301497+1351
4Ostersunds FK3012135+949
5Landskrona BoIS301398+1448
6Oddevold3012108+1246
7Osters IF3014412+446
8United Nordic3011910-642
9Sandviken3011811+741
10Ljungskile SK3081111-135
11IFK Varnamo3010515-1235
12Helsingborg309813-1335
13Orebro SK3061212-1230
14Norrby IF3051312-1328
15IK brage306915-1127
16GIF Sundsvall306123-5019

More Superettan predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Norrby IF vs Varbergs BoIS FC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Norrby IF vs Varbergs BoIS FC?

On our numbers Norrby IF have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Varbergs BoIS FC 48%.

How many goals will there be in Norrby IF vs Varbergs BoIS FC?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Norrby IF vs Varbergs BoIS FC?

Our predicted score is Norrby IF 1–1 Varbergs BoIS FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Norrby IF vs Varbergs BoIS FC?

Norrby IF vs Varbergs BoIS FC (Superettan) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.