Estrela U23 vs União Leiria U23: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
União Leiria U23 travel to face Estrela U23 on Monday 9 March in the Liga Revelação U23 – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Estrela U23 are 19th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 11 matches; União Leiria U23 are 12th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Estrela U23, last 3: DDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Portimonense U23, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
União Leiria U23, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Gil Vicente U23, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Estrela U23, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.0 for União Leiria U23.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estrela U23 1.5 xG, União Leiria U23 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estrela U23 49%, draw 25%, União Leiria U23 26%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estrela U23 1–1 União Leiria U23. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estrela U2349%fair 2.04 · @1.77
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.60
União Leiria U2326%fair 3.88 · @3.90
2.63Expected goals
1.48Estrela U23 xG
1.14União Leiria U23 xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Estrela U23 1.5 – 1.1 União Leiria U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Estrela U23
União Leiria U23
Attack vs Liga Revelação U23 average
-11%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
+6%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.28
1.19
Our own ratings from every Liga Revelação U23 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estrela U23 to win✗
49%
2.04
1.77
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.73
Draw no bet
Estrela U23 (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
União Leiria U23 +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Estrela U23 to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estrela U23 / FT Estrela U23✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.00
–
Recent results
Estrela U23 – last 3
DDL
3 Mar
@ Portimonense U23
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs Estoril U23
0–0
D
19 Feb
vs Marítimo U23
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
União Leiria U23 – last 4
LLLL
3 Mar
vs Gil Vicente U23
2–3
L
24 Feb
@ Farense U23
0–1
L
19 Feb
@ Rio Ave U23
0–2
L
13 Feb
@ Portimonense U23
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estrela U23 and União Leiria U23.
What is the prediction for Estrela U23 vs União Leiria U23?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Estrela U23 vs União Leiria U23?
On our numbers Estrela U23 have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and União Leiria U23 26%.
How many goals will there be in Estrela U23 vs União Leiria U23?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estrela U23 vs União Leiria U23?
Our predicted score is Estrela U23 1–1 União Leiria U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Estrela U23 vs União Leiria U23?
Estrela U23 vs União Leiria U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
