Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Rio Ave U23 to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRio Ave U23 to win ✓44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Rio Ave U23 vs Gil Vicente U23: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gil Vicente U23 travel to face Rio Ave U23 on Wednesday 18 March in the Liga Revelação U23 – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Rio Ave U23 are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Gil Vicente U23 are 15th (lower half) with 11.
Current form
Rio Ave U23, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Farense U23, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Gil Vicente U23, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Vizela U23, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rio Ave U23 1.7 xG, Gil Vicente U23 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rio Ave U23 44%, draw 23%, Gil Vicente U23 33%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Rio Ave U23 to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rio Ave U23 1–1 Gil Vicente U23. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rio Ave U2344%fair 2.28 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.50
Gil Vicente U2333%fair 3.05 · @2.40
2.99Expected goals
1.74Rio Ave U23 xG
1.25Gil Vicente U23 xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Rio Ave U23 1.7 – 1.3 Gil Vicente U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Rio Ave U23
Gil Vicente U23
Attack vs Liga Revelação U23 average
+9%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
-29%
+8%
Our expected goals here
1.89
1.05
Our own ratings from every Liga Revelação U23 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rio Ave U23 to win✓
44%
2.28
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.45
Draw no bet
Rio Ave U23 (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Gil Vicente U23 +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Rio Ave U23 to score first✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rio Ave U23 / FT Rio Ave U23✗
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
Rio Ave U23 – last 3
WWW
10 Mar
@ Farense U23
1–0
W
24 Feb
vs Vizela U23
3–2
W
19 Feb
vs União Leiria U23
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gil Vicente U23 – last 4
WWWW
9 Mar
vs Vizela U23
3–1
W
3 Mar
@ União Leiria U23
3–2
W
24 Feb
vs Portimonense U23
5–3
W
19 Feb
vs Estoril U23
2–1
W
3.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rio Ave U23 and Gil Vicente U23.
What is the prediction for Rio Ave U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Rio Ave U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?
On our numbers Rio Ave U23 have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gil Vicente U23 33%.
How many goals will there be in Rio Ave U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rio Ave U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?
Our predicted score is Rio Ave U23 1–1 Gil Vicente U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Rio Ave U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?
Rio Ave U23 vs Gil Vicente U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
