Value bet: Queretaro U21 to win @ 2.45 – our chance 47% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultQueretaro U21 to win ✗47% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Queretaro U21 vs Cruz Azul U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 21 April the Liga MX U21 brings Queretaro U21 against Cruz Azul U21. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Queretaro U21 are 18th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 15 matches; Cruz Azul U21 are 14th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Cruz Azul U21, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mazatlan FC U21, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Queretaro U21 1.8 xG, Cruz Azul U21 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 49% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Queretaro U21 47%, draw 24%, Cruz Azul U21 30%.
Price worth noting: Queretaro U21 to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Queretaro U21 1–1 Cruz Azul U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Queretaro U2147%fair 2.14 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.20
Cruz Azul U2130%fair 3.37 · @2.70
3.01Expected goals
1.77Queretaro U21 xG
1.23Cruz Azul U21 xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Queretaro U21 1.8 – 1.2 Cruz Azul U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Queretaro U21 to win✗
47%
2.14
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Queretaro U21 (draw no bet)
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Cruz Azul U21 +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Queretaro U21 to score first
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Queretaro U21 / FT Queretaro U21✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Queretaro U21 – last 2
WL
17 Apr
@ Mazatlan FC U21
4–0
W
27 Feb
vs Santos Laguna U21
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cruz Azul U21 – last 3
LWW
20 Mar
@ Mazatlan FC U21
0–1
L
3 Mar
@ Santos Laguna U21
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Tigres UANL U21
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Queretaro U21 and Cruz Azul U21.
What is the prediction for Queretaro U21 vs Cruz Azul U21?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Queretaro U21 vs Cruz Azul U21?
On our numbers Queretaro U21 have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cruz Azul U21 30%.
How many goals will there be in Queretaro U21 vs Cruz Azul U21?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Queretaro U21 vs Cruz Azul U21?
Our predicted score is Queretaro U21 1–1 Cruz Azul U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Queretaro U21 vs Cruz Azul U21?
Queretaro U21 vs Cruz Azul U21 (Liga MX U21) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
