Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.38
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.78
Atlanta vs Patronato: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 3 March the Primera Nacional brings Atlanta against Patronato. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Atlanta are 2nd, among the top four, on 62 points after 36 matches; Patronato are 16th (in the drop zone) with 38. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlanta 1.2 xG, Patronato 0.6 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlanta 52%, draw 29%, Patronato 18%.
Lower-risk option: Atlanta or draw (82%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.38.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlanta 1–0 Patronato. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlanta52%fair 1.91 · @1.91
Draw29%fair 3.41 · @2.75
Patronato18%fair 5.50 · @4.60
1.72Expected goals
1.16Atlanta xG
0.55Patronato xG
43%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
0–018%
2–012%
1–112%
0–110%
2–17%
From our goals model: Atlanta 1.2 – 0.6 Patronato expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atlanta
Patronato
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+8%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
+0%
Our expected goals here
1.33
0.66
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlanta to win✗
52%
1.91
1.91
Double chance
Atlanta or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.13
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.38
Draw no bet
Atlanta (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Patronato +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.77
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Atlanta to score first✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlanta / FT Atlanta✗
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.78
–
Recent results
Atlanta – last 2
LW
23 Feb
@ Colegiales
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Quilmes
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Patronato – last 2
LD
22 Feb
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ San Martin Tucuman
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlanta and Patronato.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Atlanta vs Patronato?
On our numbers Atlanta have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Patronato 18%.
How many goals will there be in Atlanta vs Patronato?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta vs Patronato?
Our predicted score is Atlanta 1–0 Patronato, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Atlanta vs Patronato?
Atlanta vs Patronato (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
