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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gimnasia Y Tiro v Almagro: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio El Gigante del Norte
Gimnasia Y Tiro 54%Draw 28%Almagro 18% Expected goals 1.35 – 0.66
70%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultGimnasia Y Tiro to win ✓54% · @1.80
Double chanceGimnasia Y Tiro or draw ✓82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.36
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.51

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Almagro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gimnasia Y Tiro welcome Almagro to Estadio El Gigante del Norte for a Primera Nacional fixture on Saturday 28 February (02:00 WAT). In the table, Gimnasia Y Tiro are 8th, upper half, on 52 points after 36 matches; Almagro are 15th (lower half) with 42.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia Y Tiro 1.4 xG, Almagro 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia Y Tiro 54%, draw 28%, Almagro 18%.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.36.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–0 Almagro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gimnasia Y Tiro54%fair 1.84 · @1.80
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.80
Almagro18%fair 5.53 · @5.25
2.01Expected goals
1.35Gimnasia Y Tiro xG
0.66Almagro xG
45%Both score
30%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
0–013%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%

From our goals model: Gimnasia Y Tiro 1.4 – 0.7 Almagro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Gimnasia Y TiroAlmagro
Attack vs Primera Nacional average+4%+5%
Goals conceded vs average-6%+23%
Our expected goals here1.570.78

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGimnasia Y Tiro to win ✓54%1.841.80
Double chanceGimnasia Y Tiro or draw ✓82%1.221.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.801.36
Draw no betGimnasia Y Tiro (draw no bet) ✓75%1.33–
Asian handicapAlmagro +1 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓56%1.781.77
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70%1.431.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreGimnasia Y Tiro to score first ✓58%1.71–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gimnasia Y Tiro / FT Gimnasia Y Tiro ✓32%3.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.51–

Recent results

Gimnasia Y Tiro – last 2

WW
22 Feb@ Patronato2–1W
14 Febvs Colegiales2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Almagro – last 1

D
14 Feb@ Atletico DE Rafaela0–0D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia Y Tiro and Almagro.

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Almagro head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Almagro?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Almagro?

On our numbers Gimnasia Y Tiro have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Almagro 18%.

How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Almagro?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Almagro?

Our predicted score is Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–0 Almagro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Almagro?

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Almagro (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Gigante del Norte.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.