Double chanceDefensores De Belgrano or draw ✓74% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.42
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.35
Defensores De Belgrano vs Atletico DE Rafaela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Defensores De Belgrano welcome Atletico DE Rafaela to Estadio Juan Pasquale for a Primera Nacional fixture on Monday 30 March (20:00 WAT). In the table, Defensores De Belgrano are 15th, lower half, on 39 points after 36 matches; Atletico DE Rafaela are 11th (lower half) with 47.
Current form
Atletico DE Rafaela, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Belgrano Cordoba, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Defensores De Belgrano 0.9 xG, Atletico DE Rafaela 0.7 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Defensores De Belgrano 42%, draw 32%, Atletico DE Rafaela 26%.
Lower-risk option: Defensores De Belgrano or draw (74%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Defensores De Belgrano 0–0 Atletico DE Rafaela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Defensores De Belgrano42%fair 2.36 · @2.10
Draw32%fair 3.12 · @2.65
Atletico DE Rafaela26%fair 3.90 · @4.10
1.62Expected goals
0.95Defensores De Belgrano xG
0.68Atletico DE Rafaela xG
46%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–020%
1–019%
0–113%
1–113%
2–09%
2–16%
From our goals model: Defensores De Belgrano 0.9 – 0.7 Atletico DE Rafaela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Defensores De Belgrano
Atletico DE Rafaela
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-29%
-11%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
+13%
Our expected goals here
0.98
0.73
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Defensores De Belgrano to win✗
42%
2.36
2.10
Double chance
Defensores De Belgrano or draw✓
74%
1.35
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.42
Draw no bet
Defensores De Belgrano (draw no bet)
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Atletico DE Rafaela +1 (Asian handicap)✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.77
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.03
–
First team to score
Defensores De Belgrano to score first✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.35
–
Recent results
Defensores De Belgrano – last 1
D
22 Feb
vs Godoy Cruz
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Atletico DE Rafaela – last 5
LWWLD
28 Mar
@ Belgrano Cordoba
0–3
L
14 Mar
vs San Martin S.J.
1–0
W
2 Mar
vs Temperley
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Deportivo Maipu
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs Almagro
0–0
D
0.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Defensores De Belgrano and Atletico DE Rafaela.
What is the prediction for Defensores De Belgrano vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Defensores De Belgrano vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
On our numbers Defensores De Belgrano have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Atletico DE Rafaela 26%.
How many goals will there be in Defensores De Belgrano vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensores De Belgrano vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
Our predicted score is Defensores De Belgrano 0–0 Atletico DE Rafaela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Defensores De Belgrano vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
Defensores De Belgrano vs Atletico DE Rafaela (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 30 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Pasquale.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
