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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atlanta v Nueva Chicago: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina

Atlanta

LWDLW
1–2
FT
Atlanta 56%Draw 30%Nueva Chicago 14% Expected goals 1.32 – 0.52
71%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.35Odds

Picks by market

ResultAtlanta to win ✗56% · @1.90
Double chanceAtlanta or draw ✗86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.75

Atlanta vs Nueva Chicago: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atlanta welcome Nueva Chicago for a Primera Nacional fixture on Wednesday 8 April (01:00 WAT). In the table, Atlanta are 2nd, among the top four, on 62 points after 36 matches; Nueva Chicago are 17th (in the drop zone) with 37. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Atlanta, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Instituto Cordoba, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Nueva Chicago, last 4: DWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with All Boys, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Nueva Chicago, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.4 for Atlanta.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atlanta 1.3 xG, Nueva Chicago 0.5 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atlanta 56%, draw 30%, Nueva Chicago 14%.
  • GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.45.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlanta 1–0 Nueva Chicago. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlanta56%fair 1.80 · @1.90
Draw30%fair 3.35 · @2.65
Nueva Chicago14%fair 6.94 · @5.10
1.83Expected goals
1.32Atlanta xG
0.52Nueva Chicago xG
44%Both score
29%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–021%
0–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–17%

From our goals model: Atlanta 1.3 – 0.5 Nueva Chicago expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

AtlantaNueva Chicago
Attack vs Primera Nacional average+8%-32%
Goals conceded vs average-1%+7%
Our expected goals here1.410.53

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtlanta to win ✗56%1.801.90 ▲
Double chanceAtlanta or draw ✗86%1.171.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.771.45
Draw no betAtlanta (draw no bet) ✗79%1.26–
Asian handicapNueva Chicago +1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓55%1.811.67
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71%1.421.35
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreAtlanta to score first ✗60%1.65–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗51%1.97–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atlanta / FT Atlanta ✗33%2.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21%4.75–

Recent results

Atlanta – last 5

LWDLW
2 Apr@ Instituto Cordoba0–2L
17 Marvs Deportivo Maipu3–1W
3 Marvs Patronato0–0D
23 Feb@ Colegiales0–1L
16 Febvs Quilmes1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Nueva Chicago – last 4

DWWW
29 Marvs All Boys0–0D
23 Marvs Gimnasia Y Tiro3–1W
1 Mar@ Agropecuario2–0W
15 Feb@ Club Atlético Güemes1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Atlanta and Nueva Chicago.

Atlanta vs Nueva Chicago head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlanta vs Nueva Chicago?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Atlanta vs Nueva Chicago?

On our numbers Atlanta have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Nueva Chicago 14%.

How many goals will there be in Atlanta vs Nueva Chicago?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlanta vs Nueva Chicago?

Our predicted score is Atlanta 1–0 Nueva Chicago, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Atlanta vs Nueva Chicago?

Atlanta vs Nueva Chicago (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.