Value bet: Midland to win @ 2.88 – our chance 37% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMidland to win ✗37% · @2.88
Double chanceMidland or draw ✓69% · @1.42
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.92
Nueva Chicago vs Midland: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nueva Chicago welcome Midland to Estadio Nueva Chicago for a Primera Nacional fixture on Monday 13 April (23:00 WAT). In the table, Nueva Chicago are 17th, in the drop zone, on 37 points after 36 matches; Midland are 5th (upper half) with 55. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nueva Chicago, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Atlanta, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Midland, last 4: WDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Acassuso, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Nueva Chicago, collecting 2.6 points per game to 1.3 for Midland.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nueva Chicago 0.8 xG, Midland 1.0 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nueva Chicago 31%, draw 32%, Midland 37%.
Lower-risk option: Midland or draw (69%) at 1.42.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Midland to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nueva Chicago 0–0 Midland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nueva Chicago31%fair 3.19 · @2.70
Draw32%fair 3.15 · @2.62
Midland37%fair 2.71 · @2.88
1.74Expected goals
0.78Nueva Chicago xG
0.97Midland xG
48%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
0–117%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%
From our goals model: Nueva Chicago 0.8 – 1.0 Midland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Nueva Chicago
Midland
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-32%
+28%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
-12%
Our expected goals here
0.74
1.06
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Midland to win✗
37%
2.71
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Midland or draw✓
69%
1.46
1.42
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.50
Draw no bet
Midland (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Nueva Chicago +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Midland to score first✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.92
–
Recent results
Nueva Chicago – last 5
WDWWW
8 Apr
@ Atlanta
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs All Boys
0–0
D
23 Mar
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Agropecuario
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Club Atlético Güemes
1–0
W
1.6Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Midland – last 4
WDDL
9 Apr
vs Acassuso
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Almagro
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Quilmes
0–0
D
16 Feb
@ Gimnasia Jujuy
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nueva Chicago and Midland.
What is the prediction for Nueva Chicago vs Midland?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Nueva Chicago vs Midland?
On our numbers Nueva Chicago have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Midland 37%.
How many goals will there be in Nueva Chicago vs Midland?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nueva Chicago vs Midland?
Our predicted score is Nueva Chicago 0–0 Midland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Nueva Chicago vs Midland?
Nueva Chicago vs Midland (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nueva Chicago.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
