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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atletico DE Rafaela v Agropecuario: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Nuevo Monumental
4–1
FT
Atletico DE Rafaela 43%Draw 30%Agropecuario 27% Expected goals 1.06 – 0.78
73%
Betarazi pick

Atletico DE Rafaela or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultAtletico DE Rafaela to win ✓43% · @2.15
Double chanceAtletico DE Rafaela or draw ✓73% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.92

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Agropecuario: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 21 April the Primera Nacional brings Atletico DE Rafaela against Agropecuario at Estadio Nuevo Monumental. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Atletico DE Rafaela are 11th, lower half, on 47 points after 36 matches; Agropecuario are 12th (lower half) with 46. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Atletico DE Rafaela, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tristan Suarez, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Agropecuario, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Union Santa Fe, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Atletico DE Rafaela, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.8 for Agropecuario.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico DE Rafaela 1.1 xG, Agropecuario 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico DE Rafaela 43%, draw 30%, Agropecuario 27%.
  • Lower-risk option: Atletico DE Rafaela or draw (73%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Atletico DE Rafaela or draw (73%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico DE Rafaela 1–0 Agropecuario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico DE Rafaela43%fair 2.33 · @2.15
Draw30%fair 3.34 · @2.85
Agropecuario27%fair 3.69 · @3.60
1.84Expected goals
1.06Atletico DE Rafaela xG
0.78Agropecuario xG
48%Both score
30%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
0–016%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%

From our goals model: Atletico DE Rafaela 1.1 – 0.8 Agropecuario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Atletico DE RafaelaAgropecuario
Attack vs Primera Nacional average-11%-9%
Goals conceded vs average+13%+0%
Our expected goals here1.090.81

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico DE Rafaela to win ✓43%2.332.15
Double chanceAtletico DE Rafaela or draw ✓73%1.371.20
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.931.50
Draw no betAtletico DE Rafaela (draw no bet) ✓61%1.63–
Asian handicapAgropecuario +1 (Asian handicap) ✗78%1.29–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓56%1.791.65
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70%1.421.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗88%1.13–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗96%1.04–
First team to scoreAtletico DE Rafaela to score first ✓49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗52%1.93–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗24%4.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%5.92–

Recent results

Atletico DE Rafaela – last 6

DLDLWW
14 Apr@ Tristan Suarez0–0D
6 Aprvs Club Atlético Güemes1–2L
30 Mar@ Defensores De Belgrano1–1D
28 Mar@ Belgrano Cordoba0–3L
14 Marvs San Martin S.J.1–0W
2 Marvs Temperley1–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Agropecuario – last 5

LDWLL
31 Mar@ Union Santa Fe0–2L
27 Mar@ Ciudad de Bolívar0–0D
15 Marvs Chacarita Juniors2–0W
1 Marvs Nueva Chicago0–2L
23 Feb@ Temperley0–1L
0.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Atletico DE Rafaela and Agropecuario.

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Agropecuario head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Agropecuario?

Our pick is Atletico DE Rafaela or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Atletico DE Rafaela vs Agropecuario?

On our numbers Atletico DE Rafaela have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Agropecuario 27%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico DE Rafaela vs Agropecuario?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Agropecuario?

Our predicted score is Atletico DE Rafaela 1–0 Agropecuario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Atletico DE Rafaela vs Agropecuario?

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Agropecuario (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Monumental.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.