Gimnasia Y Tiro 61%Draw 26%Club Atlético Güemes 13%Expected goals 1.73 – 0.59
61%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
1
Value bet: Gimnasia Y Tiro to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGimnasia Y Tiro to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceGimnasia Y Tiro or draw ✓87% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.85
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Club Atlético Güemes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 20 April the Primera Nacional brings Gimnasia Y Tiro against Club Atlético Güemes at Estadio El Gigante del Norte. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Gimnasia Y Tiro are 8th, upper half, on 52 points after 36 matches; Club Atlético Güemes are 18th (in the drop zone) with 27. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gimnasia Y Tiro, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with San Martin S.J., at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Club Atlético Güemes, last 4: WDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Atletico DE Rafaela, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia Y Tiro 1.7 xG, Club Atlético Güemes 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 36%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia Y Tiro 61%, draw 26%, Club Atlético Güemes 13%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Gimnasia Y Tiro to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (61%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia Y Tiro 2–0 Club Atlético Güemes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnasia Y Tiro61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.70
Club Atlético Güemes13%fair 7.72 · @5.25
2.31Expected goals
1.73Gimnasia Y Tiro xG
0.59Club Atlético Güemes xG
48%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Gimnasia Y Tiro 1.7 – 0.6 Club Atlético Güemes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Club Atlético Güemes
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+4%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
-6%
+58%
Our expected goals here
2.02
0.56
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnasia Y Tiro to win✗
61%
1.63
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Gimnasia Y Tiro or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.45
Draw no bet
Gimnasia Y Tiro (draw no bet)
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Gimnasia Y Tiro -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
First team to score
Gimnasia Y Tiro to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Gimnasia Y Tiro ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimnasia Y Tiro / FT Gimnasia Y Tiro✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.85
–
Recent results
Gimnasia Y Tiro – last 6
DLLDWW
4 Apr
vs San Martin S.J.
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Central Norte
0–1
L
23 Mar
@ Nueva Chicago
1–3
L
15 Mar
vs Temperley
0–0
D
28 Feb
vs Almagro
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Patronato
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Club Atlético Güemes – last 4
WDLL
6 Apr
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Atletico Mitre
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ San Martin S.J.
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Nueva Chicago
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia Y Tiro and Club Atlético Güemes.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Club Atlético Güemes?
On our numbers Gimnasia Y Tiro have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Club Atlético Güemes 13%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Club Atlético Güemes?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia Y Tiro 2–0 Club Atlético Güemes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Club Atlético Güemes (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Gigante del Norte.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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