Double chanceFerro Carril Oeste or draw ✗80% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.42
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.24
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Almirante Brown: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 28 April the Primera Nacional brings Ferro Carril Oeste against Almirante Brown at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT. In the table, Ferro Carril Oeste are 2nd, among the top four, on 66 points after 36 matches; Almirante Brown are 6th (upper half) with 51. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Almirante Brown, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Defensores De Belgrano, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ferro Carril Oeste 1.1 xG, Almirante Brown 0.7 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ferro Carril Oeste 50%, draw 30%, Almirante Brown 20%.
GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ferro Carril Oeste 1–0 Almirante Brown. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ferro Carril Oeste50%fair 2.01 · @1.85
Draw30%fair 3.29 · @2.85
Almirante Brown20%fair 5.03 · @4.75
1.73Expected goals
1.08Ferro Carril Oeste xG
0.65Almirante Brown xG
43%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–018%
1–112%
0–112%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: Ferro Carril Oeste 1.1 – 0.7 Almirante Brown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ferro Carril Oeste
Almirante Brown
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-7%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-13%
Our expected goals here
0.99
0.74
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ferro Carril Oeste to win✗
50%
2.01
1.85
Double chance
Ferro Carril Oeste or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.42
Draw no bet
Ferro Carril Oeste (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Almirante Brown +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Ferro Carril Oeste to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ferro Carril Oeste / FT Ferro Carril Oeste✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.24
–
Recent results
Ferro Carril Oeste – last 2
LD
21 Mar
vs Los Andes
0–2
L
1 Mar
@ Colon Santa Fe
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Almirante Brown – last 5
LLWWD
5 Apr
vs Defensores De Belgrano
0–2
L
14 Mar
@ Racing Cordoba
1–2
L
2 Mar
@ CA Estudiantes
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs All Boys
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Los Andes
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferro Carril Oeste and Almirante Brown.
What is the prediction for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Almirante Brown?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Ferro Carril Oeste vs Almirante Brown?
On our numbers Ferro Carril Oeste have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Almirante Brown 20%.
How many goals will there be in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Almirante Brown?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Almirante Brown?
Our predicted score is Ferro Carril Oeste 1–0 Almirante Brown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Ferro Carril Oeste vs Almirante Brown?
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Almirante Brown (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Tuesday 28 April 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
