Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.47
Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Quilmes welcome Chacarita Juniors to Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes for a Primera Nacional fixture on Tuesday 5 May (00:00 WAT). In the table, Quilmes are 13th, lower half, on 45 points after 36 matches; Chacarita Juniors are 14th (lower half) with 42. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Quilmes, last 4: WWDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over San Telmo, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Chacarita Juniors, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atlanta, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Quilmes, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Chacarita Juniors.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Quilmes 1.1 xG, Chacarita Juniors 0.7 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Quilmes 45%, draw 31%, Chacarita Juniors 24%.
Lower-risk option: Quilmes or draw (76%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Quilmes or draw (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Quilmes 1–0 Chacarita Juniors. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Quilmes45%fair 2.21 · @2.10
Draw31%fair 3.21 · @2.88
Chacarita Juniors24%fair 4.24 · @3.70
1.82Expected goals
1.13Quilmes xG
0.69Chacarita Juniors xG
45%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–016%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: Quilmes 1.1 – 0.7 Chacarita Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Quilmes
Chacarita Juniors
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
-12%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
-8%
Our expected goals here
0.99
0.56
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Quilmes to win✗
45%
2.21
2.10
Double chance
Quilmes or draw✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.53
Draw no bet
Quilmes (draw no bet)
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Chacarita Juniors +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Quilmes to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Quilmes / FT Quilmes✗
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.47
–
Recent results
Quilmes – last 4
WWDL
29 Mar
@ San Telmo
3–0
W
15 Mar
vs Patronato
3–0
W
22 Feb
vs Midland
0–0
D
16 Feb
@ Atlanta
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chacarita Juniors – last 5
LLLWD
21 Apr
@ Atlanta
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs CA Estudiantes
0–3
L
15 Mar
@ Agropecuario
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs San Martin S.J.
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Quilmes and Chacarita Juniors.
What is the prediction for Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors?
Our pick is Quilmes or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors?
On our numbers Quilmes have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Chacarita Juniors 24%.
How many goals will there be in Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors?
Our predicted score is Quilmes 1–0 Chacarita Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors?
Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
