San Martin Tucuman 47%Draw 28%Gimnasia Jujuy 25%Expected goals 1.56 – 0.99
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSan Martin Tucuman to win ✓47% · @2.25
Double chanceSan Martin Tucuman or draw ✓75% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.63
San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Jujuy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 13 May the Primera Nacional brings San Martin Tucuman against Gimnasia Jujuy at Estadio La Ciudadela. Kick-off: 01:10 WAT. In the table, San Martin Tucuman are 10th, lower half, on 47 points after 36 matches; Gimnasia Jujuy are 4th (among the top four) with 58.
Current form
San Martin Tucuman, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Atletico DE Rafaela, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Gimnasia Jujuy, last 4: WLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Chaco For Ever, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Martin Tucuman 1.6 xG, Gimnasia Jujuy 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Martin Tucuman 47%, draw 28%, Gimnasia Jujuy 25%.
Lower-risk option: San Martin Tucuman or draw (75%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martin Tucuman 1–1 Gimnasia Jujuy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Martin Tucuman47%fair 2.13 · @2.25
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @2.55
Gimnasia Jujuy25%fair 3.97 · @3.75
2.56Expected goals
1.56San Martin Tucuman xG
0.99Gimnasia Jujuy xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: San Martin Tucuman 1.6 – 1.0 Gimnasia Jujuy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
San Martin Tucuman
Gimnasia Jujuy
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+14%
+33%
Goals conceded vs average
+11%
+47%
Our expected goals here
2.06
1.16
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martin Tucuman to win✓
47%
2.13
2.25 ▲
Double chance
San Martin Tucuman or draw✓
75%
1.34
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
San Martin Tucuman (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Gimnasia Jujuy +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.67 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
San Martin Tucuman to score first✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Martin Tucuman / FT San Martin Tucuman✗
30%
3.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.63
–
Recent results
San Martin Tucuman – last 5
WDDDD
3 May
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Tristan Suarez
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Deportivo Madryn
1–1
D
21 Mar
@ San Martin S.J.
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Patronato
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Gimnasia Jujuy – last 4
WLLW
28 Mar
@ Chaco For Ever
2–1
W
21 Mar
@ Tristan Suarez
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ Chacarita Juniors
1–3
L
16 Feb
vs Midland
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Martin Tucuman and Gimnasia Jujuy.
What is the prediction for San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
On our numbers San Martin Tucuman have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Gimnasia Jujuy 25%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
Our predicted score is San Martin Tucuman 1–1 Gimnasia Jujuy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Jujuy (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 01:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Ciudadela.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
