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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Patronato v Atletico DE Rafaela: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina

Patronato

DDLWD
0–0
FT

Atletico DE Rafaela

WLLWD
Patronato 52%Draw 30%Atletico DE Rafaela 18% Expected goals 1.18 – 0.61
72%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultPatronato to win ✗52% · @1.90
Double chancePatronato or draw ✓82% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.42
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.09

Patronato vs Atletico DE Rafaela: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:30 WAT, Sunday 14 June: Patronato v Atletico DE Rafaela in the Primera Nacional. In the table, Patronato are 16th, in the drop zone, on 38 points after 36 matches; Atletico DE Rafaela are 11th (lower half) with 47.

Current form

Patronato, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Agropecuario, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Atletico DE Rafaela, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Colegiales, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Patronato 1.2 xG, Atletico DE Rafaela 0.6 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Patronato 52%, draw 30%, Atletico DE Rafaela 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Patronato or draw (82%) at 1.13.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.42.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Patronato 1–0 Atletico DE Rafaela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Patronato52%fair 1.92 · @1.90
Draw30%fair 3.38 · @2.85
Atletico DE Rafaela18%fair 5.48 · @4.60
1.79Expected goals
1.18Patronato xG
0.61Atletico DE Rafaela xG
47%Both score
28%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%
0–017%
1–112%
2–012%
0–110%
2–17%

From our goals model: Patronato 1.2 – 0.6 Atletico DE Rafaela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

PatronatoAtletico DE Rafaela
Attack vs Primera Nacional average-15%-11%
Goals conceded vs average+0%+13%
Our expected goals here1.180.70

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPatronato to win ✗52%1.921.90
Double chancePatronato or draw ✓82%1.221.13
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.901.42
Draw no betPatronato (draw no bet)74%1.35–
Asian handicapAtletico DE Rafaela +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗54%1.851.70
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72%1.381.30
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scorePatronato to score first ✗55%1.83–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT Patronato / FT Patronato ✗28%3.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20%5.09–

Recent results

Patronato – last 6

DDLWDL
7 Jun@ Agropecuario1–1D
31 Mayvs Tristan Suarez1–1D
24 May@ Club Atlético Güemes0–1L
17 Mayvs Chacarita Juniors2–0W
19 Aprvs Deportivo Maipu0–0D
29 Marvs Colon Santa Fe0–2L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Atletico DE Rafaela – last 6

WLLWDL
6 Junvs Colegiales1–0W
31 May@ Quilmes0–2L
3 May@ San Martin Tucuman1–2L
21 Aprvs Agropecuario4–1W
14 Apr@ Tristan Suarez0–0D
6 Aprvs Club Atlético Güemes1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Patronato and Atletico DE Rafaela.

Patronato vs Atletico DE Rafaela head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

More Primera Nacional predictions

League hub
FT Gimnasia Jujuy2 San Martin S.J.1 144%2.05X26%3.00231%3.50 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 69%@1.45 ✓
FT Almirante Brown1 Godoy Cruz0 133%3.00X31%2.50236%2.75 1.0–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.30 ✓
FT CA Estudiantes2 All Boys1 151%1.90X32%2.75217%5.00 1.1–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✗
FT Ferro Carril Oeste2 Acassuso1 155%1.45X29%3.40215%8.50 1.2–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.44 ✗
FT Atletico Mitre0 Los Andes3 137%2.60X34%2.50229%3.20 0.9–0.7xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✗
FT Racing Cordoba2 Chaco For Ever0 144%1.90X30%2.70226%5.00 1.1–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 67%@1.35 ✓
FT Temperley4 Club Atlético Güemes1 155%2.10X25%2.62220%4.10 1.7–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.28 ✗
FT Central Norte0 San Telmo0 151%1.91X32%2.75217%4.60 1.2–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 71%@1.38 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Patronato vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Patronato vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

On our numbers Patronato have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Atletico DE Rafaela 18%.

How many goals will there be in Patronato vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Patronato vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

Our predicted score is Patronato 1–0 Atletico DE Rafaela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Patronato vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

Patronato vs Atletico DE Rafaela (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.