Value bet: Midland to win @ 3.55 – our chance 35% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultColegiales to win ✓39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.75
Colegiales vs Midland: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 3 September the Primera Nacional brings Colegiales against Midland at Estadio de Colegiales. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Colegiales are 7th, upper half, on 52 points after 36 matches; Midland are 5th (upper half) with 55. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Colegiales, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Deportivo Maipu, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Midland, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Nueva Chicago, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colegiales 1.0 xG, Midland 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colegiales 39%, draw 26%, Midland 35%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Midland to win @3.55 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colegiales 1–0 Midland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colegiales39%fair 2.53 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.75
Midland35%fair 2.89 · @3.55
1.92Expected goals
1.01Colegiales xG
0.91Midland xG
50%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Colegiales 1.0 – 0.9 Midland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colegiales to win✓
39%
2.53
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Colegiales (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Midland +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Colegiales to score first✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.75
–
Recent results
Colegiales – last 6
WDLDWW
29 Aug
vs Deportivo Maipu
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Almagro
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ San Miguel
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs Patronato
2–2
D
1 Aug
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2–1
W
26 Jul
@ Quilmes
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Midland – last 6
WLDDWD
29 Aug
vs Nueva Chicago
2–0
W
23 Aug
@ Temperley
1–2
L
19 Aug
@ Banfield
2–2
D
14 Aug
@ Acassuso
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Deportivo Maipu
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Almagro
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colegiales and Midland.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Colegiales vs Midland?
On our numbers Colegiales have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Midland 35%.
How many goals will there be in Colegiales vs Midland?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colegiales vs Midland?
Our predicted score is Colegiales 1–0 Midland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Colegiales vs Midland?
Colegiales vs Midland (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Colegiales.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
