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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

San Martin S.J. v Tristan Suarez: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina
0–0
FT
San Martin S.J. 56%Draw 23%Tristan Suarez 21% Expected goals 1.26 – 0.60
56%
Betarazi pick

San Martin S.J. to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.91Odds

Picks by market

ResultSan Martin S.J. to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceSan Martin S.J. or draw ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.11

San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

San Martin S.J. welcome Tristan Suarez for a Primera Nacional fixture on Wednesday 16 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, San Martin S.J. are 9th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Tristan Suarez are 1st (leading the league) with 64. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

San Martin S.J., last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Quilmes, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Tristan Suarez, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gimnasia Y Tiro, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Mar 2026) it ended Tristan Suarez 2–1 San Martin S.J..

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give San Martin S.J. 1.3 xG, Tristan Suarez 0.6 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – San Martin S.J. 56%, draw 23%, Tristan Suarez 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: San Martin S.J. or draw (79%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was San Martin S.J. to win (56%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.80, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martin S.J. 1–0 Tristan Suarez. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Martin S.J.56%fair 1.80 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @2.90
Tristan Suarez21%fair 4.70 · @4.50
1.86Expected goals
1.26San Martin S.J. xG
0.60Tristan Suarez xG
44%Both score
29%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%
0–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–17%

From our goals model: San Martin S.J. 1.3 – 0.6 Tristan Suarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Martin S.J. to win ✗56%1.801.91 ▲
Double chanceSan Martin S.J. or draw ✓79%1.271.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓56%1.781.50
Draw no betSan Martin S.J. (draw no bet)72%1.38–
Asian handicapTristan Suarez +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗55%1.80–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreSan Martin S.J. to score first ✗57%1.75–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓51%1.97–
Half-time / full-timeHT San Martin S.J. / FT San Martin S.J. ✗30%3.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20%5.11–

Recent results

San Martin S.J. – last 6

LWWWDD
12 Sep@ Quilmes0–1L
6 Sepvs Midland3–2W
30 Aug@ Atlanta1–0W
22 Augvs Gimnasia Y Tiro3–1W
16 Aug@ Racing Cordoba0–0D
9 Aug@ San Martin Tucuman1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Tristan Suarez – last 6

DWLWWW
12 Sep@ Gimnasia Y Tiro0–0D
5 Sepvs San Martin Tucuman2–0W
29 Aug@ Atletico DE Rafaela1–2L
22 Augvs Agropecuario2–0W
16 Augvs Almirante Brown3–1W
10 Aug@ Gimnasia Jujuy2–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Mar 2026Tristan Suarez v San Martin S.J.2–1
San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez?

Our pick is San Martin S.J. to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez?

On our numbers San Martin S.J. have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tristan Suarez 21%.

How many goals will there be in San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez?

Our predicted score is San Martin S.J. 1–0 Tristan Suarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez?

San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.