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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Temperley v Atletico DE Rafaela: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Alfredo Beranger
2–0
FT
Temperley 59%Draw 26%Atletico DE Rafaela 16% Expected goals 1.46 – 0.56
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds
1

Value bet: Temperley to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultTemperley to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceTemperley or draw ✓84% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.17

Temperley vs Atletico DE Rafaela: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atletico DE Rafaela travel to face Temperley on Saturday 18 July in the Primera Nacional, with Estadio Alfredo Beranger the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Temperley are 3rd, among the top four, on 61 points after 36 matches; Atletico DE Rafaela are 11th (lower half) with 47. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Temperley, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Agropecuario, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Atletico DE Rafaela, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Deportivo Maipu, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Temperley, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Atletico DE Rafaela.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Mar 2026) it ended Atletico DE Rafaela 1–0 Temperley.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Temperley 1.5 xG, Atletico DE Rafaela 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Temperley 59%, draw 26%, Atletico DE Rafaela 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Temperley or draw (84%) at 1.13.
  • GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: Temperley to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Temperley 1–0 Atletico DE Rafaela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Temperley59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.95
Atletico DE Rafaela16%fair 6.39 · @4.40
2.02Expected goals
1.46Temperley xG
0.56Atletico DE Rafaela xG
44%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%

From our goals model: Temperley 1.5 – 0.6 Atletico DE Rafaela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

TemperleyAtletico DE Rafaela
Attack vs Primera Nacional average+23%-11%
Goals conceded vs average-13%+13%
Our expected goals here1.700.61

Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTemperley to win ✓59%1.701.85 ▲
Double chanceTemperley or draw ✓84%1.191.13
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓56%1.781.44
Draw no betTemperley (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapAtletico DE Rafaela +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓58%1.721.65
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.481.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreTemperley to score first ✓63%1.60–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Temperley / FT Temperley ✗36%2.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.17–

Recent results

Temperley – last 6

DWDWWW
12 Jul@ Agropecuario0–0D
4 Julvs Tristan Suarez1–0W
20 Junvs San Martin Tucuman1–1D
14 Junvs Club Atlético Güemes4–1W
7 Jun@ Chacarita Juniors1–0W
31 Mayvs San Martin S.J.2–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Atletico DE Rafaela – last 6

LLDDWL
11 Julvs Deportivo Maipu1–3L
4 Jul@ Almagro0–1L
23 Jun@ Nueva Chicago0–0D
14 Jun@ Patronato0–0D
6 Junvs Colegiales1–0W
31 May@ Quilmes0–2L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Mar 2026Atletico DE Rafaela v Temperley1–0
Temperley vs Atletico DE Rafaela head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

More Primera Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Temperley vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Temperley vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

On our numbers Temperley have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atletico DE Rafaela 16%.

How many goals will there be in Temperley vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Temperley vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

Our predicted score is Temperley 1–0 Atletico DE Rafaela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Temperley vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

Temperley vs Atletico DE Rafaela (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfredo Beranger.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.