Club Atlético Güemes 38%Draw 26%Atletico DE Rafaela 36%Expected goals 1.01 – 0.99
68%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.36Odds
2
Value bet: Atletico DE Rafaela to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultClub Atlético Güemes to win ✗38% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.32
Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico DE Rafaela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Monday 24 August: Club Atlético Güemes v Atletico DE Rafaela in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda. In the table, Club Atlético Güemes are 18th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 36 matches; Atletico DE Rafaela are 11th (lower half) with 47. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Club Atlético Güemes, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Chacarita Juniors, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Atletico DE Rafaela, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Defensores De Belgrano, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Atletico DE Rafaela, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Club Atlético Güemes.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Atletico DE Rafaela 1–2 Club Atlético Güemes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Club Atlético Güemes 1.0 xG, Atletico DE Rafaela 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Club Atlético Güemes 38%, draw 26%, Atletico DE Rafaela 36%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Atletico DE Rafaela to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Atlético Güemes 1–0 Atletico DE Rafaela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Club Atlético Güemes38%fair 2.66 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.75
Atletico DE Rafaela36%fair 2.74 · @3.20
2.00Expected goals
1.01Club Atlético Güemes xG
0.99Atletico DE Rafaela xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–114%
0–014%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Club Atlético Güemes 1.0 – 1.0 Atletico DE Rafaela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
On our numbers Club Atlético Güemes have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atletico DE Rafaela 36%.
How many goals will there be in Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
Our predicted score is Club Atlético Güemes 1–0 Atletico DE Rafaela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico DE Rafaela (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.