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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Club Atlético Güemes v Atletico DE Rafaela: numbers & prediction

Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda
Club Atlético Güemes 38%Draw 26%Atletico DE Rafaela 36% Expected goals 1.01 – 0.99
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds
2

Value bet: Atletico DE Rafaela to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultClub Atlético Güemes to win ✗38% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.32

Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico DE Rafaela: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Monday 24 August: Club Atlético Güemes v Atletico DE Rafaela in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda. In the table, Club Atlético Güemes are 18th, in the drop zone, on 27 points after 36 matches; Atletico DE Rafaela are 11th (lower half) with 47. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Club Atlético Güemes, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Chacarita Juniors, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Atletico DE Rafaela, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Defensores De Belgrano, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Atletico DE Rafaela, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Club Atlético Güemes.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Atletico DE Rafaela 1–2 Club Atlético Güemes.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Club Atlético Güemes 1.0 xG, Atletico DE Rafaela 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Club Atlético Güemes 38%, draw 26%, Atletico DE Rafaela 36%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Atletico DE Rafaela to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Atlético Güemes 1–0 Atletico DE Rafaela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Club Atlético Güemes38%fair 2.66 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.75
Atletico DE Rafaela36%fair 2.74 · @3.20
2.00Expected goals
1.01Club Atlético Güemes xG
0.99Atletico DE Rafaela xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–114%
0–014%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Club Atlético Güemes 1.0 – 1.0 Atletico DE Rafaela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultClub Atlético Güemes to win ✗38%2.662.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.351.35
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%1.991.53
Draw no betClub Atlético Güemes (draw no bet)51%1.97–
Asian handicapAtletico DE Rafaela +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗58%1.721.65
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.471.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreClub Atlético Güemes to score first ✗44%2.29–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓22%4.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.32–

Recent results

Club Atlético Güemes – last 6

DDLLLL
19 Aug@ Chacarita Juniors0–0D
15 Aug@ Atletico Mitre1–1D
8 Aug@ Agropecuario0–3L
3 Augvs Tristan Suarez1–3L
26 Jul@ Gimnasia Jujuy1–2L
12 Julvs San Martin S.J.0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Atletico DE Rafaela – last 6

DWDWLL
15 Augvs Defensores De Belgrano0–0D
8 Augvs Chacarita Juniors1–0W
1 Aug@ San Martin S.J.1–1D
25 Julvs Nueva Chicago1–0W
18 Jul@ Temperley0–2L
11 Julvs Deportivo Maipu1–3L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Apr 2026Atletico DE Rafaela v Club Atlético Güemes1–2
Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico DE Rafaela head-to-head page →

Primera Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tristan Suarez3616164+1864
2Atlanta3619512+862
3Temperley3616137+1261
4Gimnasia Jujuy36161010+458
5Midland36151011+1455
6Deportivo Maipu36141012+952
7Colegiales36141012+452
8Gimnasia Y Tiro36141012+252
9San Martin S.J.36131211+651
10San Martin Tucuman36111411+247
11Atletico DE Rafaela36121113-647
12Agropecuario36121014-846
13Quilmes3612915+345
14Chacarita Juniors3612618-642
15Almagro3611916-1142
16Patronato3671712-638
17Nueva Chicago3691017-1137
18Club Atlético Güemes366921-3427

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

On our numbers Club Atlético Güemes have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atletico DE Rafaela 36%.

How many goals will there be in Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

Our predicted score is Club Atlético Güemes 1–0 Atletico DE Rafaela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico DE Rafaela?

Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico DE Rafaela (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.