Value bet: Quilmes to win @ 3.50 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Maipu to win ✓42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.81
Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Maipu welcome Quilmes to Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti for a Primera Nacional fixture on Sunday 23 August (19:30 WAT). In the table, Deportivo Maipu are 6th, upper half, on 52 points after 36 matches; Quilmes are 13th (lower half) with 45.
Current form
Deportivo Maipu, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Godoy Cruz, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Quilmes, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over San Telmo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Maipu 1.2 xG, Quilmes 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Maipu 42%, draw 25%, Quilmes 33%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Quilmes to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.91, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Maipu 1–1 Quilmes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Maipu42%fair 2.37 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.90
Quilmes33%fair 3.01 · @3.50
2.16Expected goals
1.17Deportivo Maipu xG
0.99Quilmes xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Deportivo Maipu 1.2 – 1.0 Quilmes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Maipu to win✓
42%
2.37
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Deportivo Maipu (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Quilmes +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Deportivo Maipu to score first✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Maipu / FT Deportivo Maipu✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.81
–
Recent results
Deportivo Maipu – last 6
WLWLDW
15 Aug
@ Godoy Cruz
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Midland
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Atlanta
4–2
W
26 Jul
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–1
L
17 Jul
vs San Martin Tucuman
0–0
D
11 Jul
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Quilmes – last 6
WDWDLL
15 Aug
vs San Telmo
3–0
W
9 Aug
vs Almagro
1–1
D
5 Aug
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Patronato
3–3
D
26 Jul
vs Colegiales
0–1
L
12 Jul
@ Midland
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Maipu and Quilmes.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes?
On our numbers Deportivo Maipu have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Quilmes 33%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Maipu 1–1 Quilmes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes?
Deportivo Maipu vs Quilmes (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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